TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$269,528
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$293,855

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,528 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b32…5950backed No33c29,792$9,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,789.5914356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No14c15,197$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.185028%14 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No29c11,111$3,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,222.1640%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes78c10,686$8,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.595337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+41.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e9b…6e75backed Yes73c9,110$6,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.741346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes71c9,068$6,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes50c8,648$4,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,285.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No29c6,744$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.545757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2618…aecfbacked Yes70c6,100$4,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked No30c5,713$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.8611547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd089…8fd7backed Yes71c5,493$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No54c5,307$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.75759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd588…cec0backed Yes75c5,009$3,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.11520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-73.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked No60c5,002$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.426732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes71c5,000$3,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.331136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed No60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.981612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-76.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes57c4,904$2,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.447944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes71c4,559$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.219333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5fe…e23dbacked No28c4,260$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No27c4,192$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.836051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c81…eda9backed No28c3,778$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid+41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes78c3,294$2,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.26757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80af…e100backed Yes40c3,125$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc21e…0215backed No31c3,093$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.111020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-73.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No58c3,081$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.3612246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed No51c2,994$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.524348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe017…d901backed Yes42c2,752$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1c…a94dbacked Yes40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No29c2,493$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.32378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+39.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6682…be78backed Yes40c2,470$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b29…5a9abacked No20c2,291$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.2711860.2%71 W · 47 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94b2…e354backed Yes73c2,064$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No15c2,053$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.1815932.7%52 W · 107 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No28c2,050$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57413219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No28c2,034$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.522766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa772…b18cbacked Yes70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No60c2,000$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1907955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd545…047fbacked Yes71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No51c1,998$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.1712353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked No12c1,916$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.661414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked No4c1,902$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551b…dfd1backed Yes71c1,800$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…2a10backed Yes71c1,394$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked No17c1,321$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.4277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-72.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ca…7229backed No19c1,300$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Yes80c1,224$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.251758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223b…4a47backed No30c1,015$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61012646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ee6…6887backed No29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbe…ecbcbacked No36c906.41$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb1…b027backed Yes39c828.21$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0181…c1c5backed Yes71c809.62$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed No60c763.13$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.611241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aac…c78fbacked Yes71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.23540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+54.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No19c677.4$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.859165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x45e8…cc6cbacked Yes79c671.42$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.323259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed No29c630.08$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.931346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes40c629.54$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9446…3695backed Yes46c607.9$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+76.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ea…0419backed Yes39c590.53$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Yes73c545.03$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.03955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe49b…2943backed Yes74c500.2$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes46c500$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad06…2dfabacked No60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-51.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed No30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Yes53c495.43$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaeb…670ebacked Yes41c490.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.07333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No39c466.13$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.851040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…981dbacked Yes39c450$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.5633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No20c425.18$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.216966.7%46 W · 23 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes43c420$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.156633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d4…acaebacked Yes36c418.47$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.31560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+57.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No36c418.4$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0714458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No32c412.17$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.281442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80a4…0ba4backed No4c400$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…ffc3backed Yes71c394.37$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae10…cb8bbacked No10c393.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-55.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b64…aa5cbacked Yes69c392.32$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.822445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No22c391.97$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-45.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes70c388.57$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No27c386.14$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.262669.2%18 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2e7d…eedcbacked Yes53c378.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.94742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf01…a99bbacked Yes72c378.87$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e1…e04dbacked Yes40c375$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x680a…77fdbacked No29c373.52$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes72c370$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.61464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe68b…60aebacked Yes73c357.14$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddb…3269backed No11c349.43$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5273…69f5backed No29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc84…8f5bbacked Yes73c338.87$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.71977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11fb…31d6backed Yes71c309.86$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.86714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-79.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe206…b9f3backed No62c306.08$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a0…aaedbacked Yes71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+148.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b6a…6c64backed Yes69c294.94$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2369…cfd7backed Yes40c288.24$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe981…5eb2backed Yes39c284.62$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4732…2f88backed Yes71c282$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.781428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x871c…7f0abacked Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.78650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+85.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.