F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaae33481bb0c766e9f08deb2ac1f4c5efda2c38e482057f35ab1f2a1f2e97650
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 20c | 16,077$3,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…b848backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 68c | 6,750$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.8 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 38c | 6,500$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.97 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 6,362$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 18c | 5,380$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.41 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd089…8fd7backed Yes | 19c | 5,088$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e86…9a71backed Yes | 22c | 3,182$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 3,100$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.49 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a2…4033backed Yes | 38c | 2,883$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 63c | 2,732$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…7719backed Yes | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1c…a94dbacked Yes | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 75c | 2,012$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.62 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…8a30backed No | 72c | 1,853$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x158a…2b9dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 19c | 1,217$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 1,213$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.67 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddb…3269backed Yes | 3c | 1,208$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,025$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.7 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed No | 58c | 953.27$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.87 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 63c | 727$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.99 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…9574backed Yes | 22c | 692.7$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.43 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…f6b8backed Yes | 21c | 685.71$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…e007backed Yes | 3c | 600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 17c | 599.88$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 40c | 586.6$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.2 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…ed58backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…f3a6backed Yes | 12c | 517.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a803backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 20c | 465$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…b96bbacked Yes | 3c | 436.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 370.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…8d99backed Yes | 20c | 361.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…5a39backed Yes | 9c | 343.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 9c | 320.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 28c | 317$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…cd14backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 21c | 267.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d84…f2a8backed Yes | 6c | 264.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…451fbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 38c | 262.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd631…2105backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 9c | 247.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…d0fcbacked Yes | 8c | 238.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed Yes | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…3533backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Yes | 26c | 199.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…be44backed Yes | 6c | 174.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 38c | 174.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ba…0e72backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…c09cbacked Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…93d2backed Yes | 28c | 145.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 66c | 142.34$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb345…7754backed Yes | 28c | 139.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f1…8f46backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…acaebacked Yes | 28c | 129.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 20c | 127.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Yes | 17c | 119.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b54…2f95backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 26c | 112.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 108.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…8037backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…2dfabacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c70…7eddbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…08c5backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…22aabacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 31cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…2868backed Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc048…5bf7backed Yes | 20c | 94.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce87…2f3fbacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 20c | 79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7c…3618backed Yes | 19c | 72.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…89c2backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…7848backed Yes | 29c | 68.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…a2bcbacked Yes | 20c | 66.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…46dfbacked Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac6…4ec4backed Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…3ec1backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b9…caf3backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd72f…e009backed Yes | 29c | 49.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9d…1e4bbacked Yes | 32c | 45.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1419…94efbacked No | 71c | 42.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.