TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0520…89c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-53.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.43
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.54
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+88.6%+$117.59
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Muslim" or "Islam" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+91.7%+$33.49
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$25.58
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+73.1%+$21.96
Will Trump say "Aussie" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.94
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,709Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,708.58
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$136
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.25
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.28
Will the Reconciliation bill receive 219 or more votes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.56
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Mexico before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.09
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.88
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.87
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Friday June  27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+64.2%+$21.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.5
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+39.9%+$39.9
Will Trump say "Abraham" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+56.3%+$6.86
Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12.13
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$40.51
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,352.8
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+57.7%+$296.61
Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.49
Israel announces end of military operations against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.4
Iran strike on Israel by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+45.9%+$73.95
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17.32
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+239.2%+$504.32
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.54
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$394.46
Will Elon tweet 175–189 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.37
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+525%+$67.78
Will Elon tweet 205–219 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.48
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$58.59
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.65
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$348.71
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.16
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.42
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+455.6%+$364.44
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+56.9%+$580.24
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.07
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.49
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,351.27
Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.49
Will Powell say "Immigration" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$20.46
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$105.6
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$39.75
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.9
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Almakhan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$21.83
UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylovbacked Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.57
UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull backed Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.76
UFC 318: Johnson vs. Zellhuberbacked Zellhuber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.94
UFC 318: Phillips vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$19.39
UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen backed Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+62%+$51.44
UFC 317 Parlay: Topuria + Pantojabacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8.32
UFC 317: Royval vs. Vanbacked Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckleybacked Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.91
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Inflation" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Chamath launch a SPAC in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+64.5%+$402.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.75
Will Tottenham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+139.6%+$64.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$164
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.