UFC · resolved market

UFC 318: Johnson vs. Zellhuber

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe18752b719f855476397594c7ab79b6692eaf83414db99c6f13ff621db7f483a

Rebuilt 44 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Johnsonof Johnson, Zellhuber
Resolved: Jul 20, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $842,747
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $993,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $842,747 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5edb…6ff1backed Johnson	16c	387,341$60,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326,735.29	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Johnson	16c	60,425$9,668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,757.41	235	37%87 W · 148 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Johnson	16c	24,326$3,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,363.6	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Johnson	30c	22,102$6,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,461.66	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5172…0581backed Zellhuber	1c	12,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	34	2.9%1 W · 33 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed Zellhuber	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	9.8%6 W · 55 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Johnson	35c	6,638$2,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,287.36	281	43.1%121 W · 160 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Johnson	25c	6,470$1,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,849.79	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Johnson	38c	5,548$2,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,415.77	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Johnson	47c	5,221$2,451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,769.21	209	54.1%113 W · 96 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Johnson	59c	4,835$2,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,980.65	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Johnson	45c	4,814$2,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,638.17	85	44.7%38 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22e…f52cbacked Johnson	14c	4,096$573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,522.92	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+69.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Johnson	19c	4,042$748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,294.14	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Johnson	18c	4,000$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,300	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Johnson	15c	4,000$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,419.96	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Zellhuber	56c	2,961$1,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,661.76	60	50%30 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed Zellhuber	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	12%6 W · 44 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+272.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87f4…49e7backed Johnson	18c	1,994$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,644.46	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Johnson	60c	1,924$1,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760.97	105	22.9%24 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Johnson	41c	1,784$723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,060.83	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed Johnson	29c	1,719$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,220.66	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Zellhuber	41c	1,655$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.26	88	26.1%23 W · 65 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Johnson	18c	1,602$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,317.13	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06d0…254fbacked Johnson	19c	1,582$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,285.58	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc31a…174ebacked Johnson	16c	1,563$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,312.5	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Zellhuber	39c	1,525$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.77	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Zellhuber	73c	1,500$1,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,095	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Zellhuber	58c	1,442$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.11	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Johnson	32c	1,373$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$933.81	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+4.8wins	+0.34per pick	44cpaid	+97%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Johnson	58c	1,190$695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.94	181	45.3%82 W · 99 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe356…437ebacked Johnson	17c	1,126$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940.29	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+3.2wins	+0.53per pick	30cpaid	+225.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Johnson	18c	1,000$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820	82	56.1%46 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Zellhuber	66c	939.82$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Johnson	53c	843.42$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399	420	42.6%179 W · 241 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Johnson	26c	841.8$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.83	149	29.5%44 W · 105 L	-15.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xce77…35d5backed Zellhuber	65c	818.74$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.35	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Johnson	14c	800.16$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688.14	169	45.6%77 W · 92 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Johnson	59c	777.99$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.38	60	35%21 W · 39 L	-6.3wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d73…3414backed Johnson	17c	747.82$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.82	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Johnson	14c	714.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$614.29	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.8wins	+0.26per pick	47cpaid	+123.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Johnson	24c	702.02$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.71	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x384f…0874backed Zellhuber	60c	690$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Johnson	16c	625$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525	355	39.4%140 W · 215 L	-19.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65e6…bb91backed Johnson	19c	598.26$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.59	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Johnson	15c	570$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+77.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb33…aaadbacked Johnson	16c	550$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.2	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Johnson	15c	500$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+2.4wins	+0.41per pick	26cpaid	+191.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Johnson	22c	500$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x59e9…4660backed Johnson	17c	500$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.20per pick	26cpaid	+79%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Johnson	15c	500$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+3.7wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Johnson	17c	499.99$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.99	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Johnson	16c	499.98$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.98	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x126b…a516backed Zellhuber	64c	468.29$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed Zellhuber	76c	456.89$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.4	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Zellhuber	12c	406.8$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	299	48.8%146 W · 153 L	-9.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Johnson	20c	400$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Johnson	18c	400$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b28…95fcbacked Johnson	80c	375.69$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.69	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	68cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Johnson	38c	372.33$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.21	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Zellhuber	44c	359.09$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.5	66	57.6%38 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e4…fd34backed Johnson	21c	326.44$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.72	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…89c2backed Zellhuber	30c	322.61$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.94	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Johnson	15c	290.45$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.99	181	41.4%75 W · 106 L	+10.4wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Johnson	17c	281.58$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.58	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc567…04bfbacked Johnson	36c	277.78$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.78	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9212…2ff6backed Johnson	14c	274.42$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+5.7wins	+0.24per pick	47cpaid	+81.4%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Johnson	19c	272$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.12	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf12b…2811backed Johnson	13c	257.56$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.98	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	38cpaid	+87.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Johnson	15c	250$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.5	248	47.2%117 W · 131 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d8…012abacked Zellhuber	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Johnson	15c	206$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.1	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa317…4ae3backed Johnson	18c	200.9$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.74	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+3.1wins	+0.52per pick	31cpaid	+211.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Johnson	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Zellhuber	74c	200$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	248	62.5%155 W · 93 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Johnson	16c	200$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168	487	49.1%239 W · 248 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Johnson	15c	200$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a01…6397backed Johnson	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	62	54.8%34 W · 28 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	63cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Johnson	16c	200$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168	540	56.7%306 W · 234 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed Zellhuber	78c	199.99$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.99	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.34per pick	54cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Johnson	15c	184.33$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.68	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Johnson	15c	180$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	122	62.3%76 W · 46 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Johnson	44c	178.06$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.47	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x079e…2bb8backed Johnson	15c	166.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.67	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Johnson	12c	164$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.32	147	51%75 W · 72 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Johnson	17c	159.99$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.8	192	30.7%59 W · 133 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Johnson	16c	156.25$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.25	111	38.7%43 W · 68 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…9117backed Johnson	30c	152.24$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.24	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.16per pick	48cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x429d…39a7backed Johnson	13c	149.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.99	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	20cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked Johnson	14c	142.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.85	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.9wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+68.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Johnson	16c	137.5$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.5	158	48.1%76 W · 82 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cdc…ae37backed Johnson	15c	133.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.33	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	23cpaid	+95.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5318…2a91backed Johnson	15c	133.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.33	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+77.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe016…424bbacked Johnson	16c	125$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ba…9438backed Johnson	15c	120$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	17cpaid	+233.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…4195backed Johnson	16c	115.63$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.13	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f6…8160backed Johnson	14c	107.14$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.14	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2935…78f9backed Johnson	19c	105.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.26	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Zellhuber	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	325	45.2%147 W · 178 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Johnson	15c	100$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85	324	31.8%103 W · 221 L	-9.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC 318: Johnson vs. Zellhuberthis page
UFC 318: Costa vs. KopylovCosta won
UFC 318: Crute vs. PrachnioCrute won
UFC 318: Ferreira vs. McVeyFerreira won
UFC 318: Fugitt vs. DulatovDulatov won
UFC 318: Gautier vs. ValentinGautier won
UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez Rodriguez won
UFC 318: Holloway vs. PoirierHolloway won
UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull Pitbull won
UFC 318: Judice vs. CaliariJudice won
UFC 318: Phillips vs. OliveiraOliveira won
UFC 318: Prado vs. VeretennikovVeretennikov won
UFC 318: Spann vs. BrzeskiSpann won
UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen Allen won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC 318: Johnson vs. Zellhuber

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event