UFC · resolved market
UFC 318: Prado vs. Veretennikov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x679c4a19a0547718efe479ec75f9f59f93203efe25382060855c115fb9b3f5c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Veretennikovof Prado , Veretennikov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Veretennikov | 48c | 52,833$25,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,311.38 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Prado | 51c | 36,666$18,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,699.66 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…6ff1backed Prado | 53c | 36,589$19,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,401.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Veretennikov | 65c | 25,394$16,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,891.28 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed Veretennikov | 48c | 13,975$6,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,267 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Veretennikov | 46c | 10,000$4,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,421.27 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Prado | 52c | 9,579$4,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,981.28 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Veretennikov | 46c | 6,808$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,658.17 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Prado | 28c | 3,331$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.6 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Veretennikov | 77c | 2,971$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.31 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Prado | 40c | 2,877$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.36 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Veretennikov | 46c | 2,575$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.6 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1959…54eebacked Prado | 54c | 2,318$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…c514backed Prado | 11c | 2,170$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.6 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Prado | 27c | 2,064$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.57 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Veretennikov | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Veretennikov | 46c | 1,897$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.3 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…45eebacked Prado | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Prado | 54c | 1,760$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.25 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Prado | 30c | 1,750$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.77 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Prado | 49c | 1,678$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.93 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Prado | 54c | 1,405$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.93 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Prado | 53c | 1,372$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.21 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Veretennikov | 44c | 1,215$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.49 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Prado | 39c | 1,200$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Prado | 66c | 1,146$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.21 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Prado | 25c | 1,146$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.98 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Prado | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…0321backed Veretennikov | 45c | 1,091$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Veretennikov | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Prado | 28c | 976.42$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.57 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Prado | 27c | 923.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.58 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Prado | 27c | 792.69$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.44 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Veretennikov | 67c | 709.58$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.16 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Veretennikov | 48c | 693.99$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.69 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Prado | 55c | 650$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.5 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Veretennikov | 47c | 629.32$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.54 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Prado | 53c | 596.23$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Prado | 55c | 556.36$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Veretennikov | 46c | 556.3$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.4 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Prado | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Prado | 54c | 542.54$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.55 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Prado | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Prado | 26c | 500$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Veretennikov | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Prado | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Prado | 54c | 438$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.52 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Veretennikov | 44c | 399.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Prado | 55c | 381.82$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Prado | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3843…b77cbacked Prado | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked Prado | 4c | 300.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +351.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Veretennikov | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Prado | 56c | 300$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Prado | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Prado | 53c | 270$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0815…d0ddbacked Prado | 38c | 254.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Prado | 29c | 253.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Prado | 56c | 249.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Prado | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Prado | 56c | 227$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Veretennikov | 47c | 224.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.94 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Prado | 53c | 212$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Veretennikov | 45c | 200.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed Prado | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…92b7backed Prado | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Prado | 54c | 187.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Prado | 55c | 182.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Veretennikov | 48c | 170$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Veretennikov | 47c | 151$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc90…a076backed Prado | 31c | 129.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Prado | 58c | 123$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Veretennikov | 42c | 123$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Veretennikov | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc485…948dbacked Prado | 54c | 119.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…a137backed Veretennikov | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Prado | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…9b19backed Prado | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Prado | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Veretennikov | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Veretennikov | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…cc43backed Prado | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Prado | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Prado | 56c | 95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Prado | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Prado | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…c3a8backed Prado | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…624abacked Veretennikov | 48c | 82.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Prado | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Prado | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Prado | 54c | 73.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…defdbacked Veretennikov | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…f202backed Prado | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…b1e6backed Prado | 57c | 67.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Veretennikov | 48c | 62.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…f095backed Prado | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Prado | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…b82cbacked Veretennikov | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Veretennikov | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Veretennikov | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 318: Prado vs. Veretennikovthis page
- UFC 318: Costa vs. KopylovCosta won
- UFC 318: Crute vs. PrachnioCrute won
- UFC 318: Ferreira vs. McVeyFerreira won
- UFC 318: Fugitt vs. DulatovDulatov won
- UFC 318: Gautier vs. ValentinGautier won
- UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez Rodriguez won
- UFC 318: Holloway vs. PoirierHolloway won
- UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull Pitbull won
- UFC 318: Johnson vs. ZellhuberJohnson won
- UFC 318: Judice vs. CaliariJudice won
- UFC 318: Phillips vs. OliveiraOliveira won
- UFC 318: Spann vs. BrzeskiSpann won
- UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen Allen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.