TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC 318: Prado vs. Veretennikov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Veretennikovof Prado , Veretennikov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$204,403
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$250,251

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,403 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfba6…375cbacked Veretennikov48c52,833$25,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,311.384067.5%27 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Prado 51c36,666$18,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,699.663066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5edb…6ff1backed Prado 53c36,589$19,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,401.651435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce77…35d5backed Veretennikov65c25,394$16,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,891.286051.7%31 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x398d…c7c3backed Veretennikov48c13,975$6,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,267475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Veretennikov46c10,000$4,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,421.2713453%71 W · 63 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Prado 52c9,579$4,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,981.284744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Veretennikov46c6,808$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,658.1722259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Prado 28c3,331$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.618145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f76…3e05backed Veretennikov77c2,971$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.313655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Prado 40c2,877$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.3610443.3%45 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Veretennikov46c2,575$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.635253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1959…54eebacked Prado 54c2,318$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2105…c514backed Prado 11c2,170$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.65632.1%18 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Prado 27c2,064$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.5716945.6%77 W · 92 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Veretennikov75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50020954.1%113 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Veretennikov46c1,897$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.314857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37d2…45eebacked Prado 55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Prado 54c1,760$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.2512541.6%52 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Prado 30c1,750$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.7714530.3%44 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Prado 49c1,678$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.933458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Prado 54c1,405$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.933441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Prado 53c1,372$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.2118453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Veretennikov44c1,215$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.494742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Prado 39c1,200$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46739959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Prado 66c1,146$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.2114929.5%44 W · 105 L-15.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Prado 25c1,146$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.989336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Prado 56c1,100$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6165147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1de3…0321backed Veretennikov45c1,091$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.821435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3d…351dbacked Veretennikov77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23012055.8%67 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Prado 28c976.42$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.5754056.7%306 W · 234 L-1.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Prado 27c923.38$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.583652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Prado 27c792.69$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.4420933.5%70 W · 139 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Veretennikov67c709.58$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.167853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Veretennikov48c693.99$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.696050%30 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Prado 55c650$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.533948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06d0…254fbacked Veretennikov47c629.32$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.544161%25 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Prado 53c596.23$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3162842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Prado 55c556.36$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+123.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Veretennikov46c556.3$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.420249%99 W · 103 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Prado 54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029948.8%146 W · 153 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Prado 54c542.54$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.558348.2%40 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Prado 54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27036745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Prado 26c500$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1323171%22 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+47%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Veretennikov44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28017850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…5c56backed Prado 54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Prado 54c438$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.527343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Veretennikov44c399.99$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9913160.3%79 W · 52 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Prado 55c381.82$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21051533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Prado 55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3843…b77cbacked Prado 28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked Prado 4c300.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+351.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a01…6397backed Veretennikov80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606254.8%34 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Prado 56c300$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16928743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Prado 55c299.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.996829.4%20 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Prado 53c270$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.18220.7%17 W · 65 L-12.6wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0815…d0ddbacked Prado 38c254.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.591471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+33.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Prado 29c253.59$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.258826.1%23 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22e4…ef1cbacked Prado 56c249.96$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.984161%25 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Prado 54c240.74$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13035539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Prado 56c227$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1214144.7%63 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Veretennikov47c224.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9442042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Prado 53c212$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3613953.2%74 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Veretennikov45c200.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.086031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-2.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x429d…39a7backed Prado 8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1feb…92b7backed Prado 53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc31a…174ebacked Prado 54c187.04$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019744.3%43 W · 54 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Prado 55c182.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Veretennikov48c170$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Veretennikov47c151$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.031145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc90…a076backed Prado 31c129.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.824858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Prado 58c123$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.343756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f4…49e7backed Veretennikov42c123$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.344548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Veretennikov61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4721554.4%117 W · 98 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc485…948dbacked Prado 54c119.78$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.683053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77f1…a137backed Veretennikov48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+115.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked Prado 54c101.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01ee…9b19backed Prado 55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Prado 47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.47451.4%38 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Veretennikov44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568851.1%45 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Veretennikov44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564731.9%15 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74e2…cc43backed Prado 50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Prado 56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Prado 56c95$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.22352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed0…92debacked Prado 32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012245.1%55 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Prado 55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011540.9%47 W · 68 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfae6…c3a8backed Prado 55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb00a…624abacked Veretennikov48c82.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+64.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…6e8ebacked Prado 54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.24143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Prado 55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.752252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Prado 54c73.15$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.56243.5%27 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0186…defdbacked Veretennikov48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.924355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+45.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x395a…f202backed Prado 28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed95…b1e6backed Prado 57c67.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.71250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2063…1eedbacked Veretennikov48c62.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.553754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd1…f095backed Prado 56c62.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ad1…8c20backed Prado 57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.27856.4%44 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87d3…b82cbacked Veretennikov80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Veretennikov45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5611138.7%43 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d89…40a4backed Veretennikov45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.53050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.