Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33dbc990e793391f84d49231ad82b0ae20f87993dc5be5a725ee8050a541ba23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $767,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $767,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d11…3d1abacked Yes | 1c | 47,268$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.92 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 27,649$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…f1a4backed Yes | 0c | 22,943$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…9fdfbacked Yes | 0c | 15,935$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 15,091$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…ad87backed Yes | 0c | 14,439$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa504…2284backed Yes | 1c | 14,439$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 13,365$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 11,234$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…c780backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3882…9745backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…c6e0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…d5f9backed Yes | 0c | 8,703$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…acecbacked Yes | 3c | 7,786$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes | 0c | 5,300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70a…4642backed Yes | 0c | 5,014$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…ce0abacked Yes | 0c | 4,859$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,738$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…99c5backed Yes | 1c | 4,611$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 4,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…deaabacked Yes | 2c | 4,405$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,337$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…7756backed Yes | 3c | 3,996$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4e…7196backed Yes | 2c | 3,939$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa470…f6bdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,638$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…5a2fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa4…33efbacked Yes | 1c | 3,596$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…6a63backed Yes | 0c | 3,561$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…70e7backed Yes | 3c | 3,560$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 1c | 3,500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…1e9dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,185$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc6…dfe9backed Yes | 2c | 3,153$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 2c | 3,106$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…081fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,001$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…59f0backed Yes | 3c | 2,906$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 2c | 2,863$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,687$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 2,676$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 9c | 2,594$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.46 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30d…57e6backed Yes | 1c | 2,581$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 0c | 2,571$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…5a46backed Yes | 4c | 2,506$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 3c | 2,481$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 1c | 2,300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…be8dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,174$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 8c | 2,003$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.24 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…c112backed Yes | 3c | 1,763$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb60b…b0ffbacked Yes | 2c | 1,636$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97f…a8b6backed Yes | 4c | 1,615$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…9b35backed Yes | 3c | 1,594$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes | 13c | 1,589$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe051…73edbacked Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 9c | 1,489$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.95 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0c…00f4backed Yes | 1c | 1,480$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,414$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,392$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 1c | 1,357$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…b564backed Yes | 1c | 1,347$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cd…e2efbacked Yes | 4c | 1,338$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed Yes | 2c | 1,327$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 7c | 1,322$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd7…5a31backed Yes | 4c | 1,300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…d4f0backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…be6bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,269$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…ce10backed Yes | 1c | 1,263$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6010…aa9cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,247$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…c544backed Yes | 1c | 1,206$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…a2a6backed Yes | 3c | 1,190$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Yes | 13c | 1,128$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…b166backed Yes | 2c | 1,072$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…2092backed Yes | 1c | 1,026$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…035cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,013$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb0backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dd…802cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd26…fc76backed Yes | 10c | 963.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce8…9d29backed Yes | 1c | 874$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…2f4dbacked Yes | 1c | 797.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 760.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 2c | 700.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…3ffebacked Yes | 3c | 690.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…6638backed Yes | 2c | 667.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ab…a6a7backed Yes | 6c | 649$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…89c2backed Yes | 2c | 639.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…1abfbacked Yes | 2c | 622$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 6c | 609$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0e…7725backed Yes | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd9…0454backed Yes | 7c | 599.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc520…7661backed Yes | 6c | 569$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 5c | 556.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…8471backed Yes | 2c | 531.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49c…a486backed Yes | 2c | 517.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…b415backed Yes | 2c | 501$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852c…2453backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +309.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…a067backed Yes | 4c | 494.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 10c | 491.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…24f4backed Yes | 4c | 474.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…d695backed Yes | 4c | 462$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?this page
- Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.