Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13d630af7d1d92f010d9856abe48fc75eee24686897533948b919164b64199b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $732,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $461,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $732,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d11…3d1abacked Yes | 1c | 53,523$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.95 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 34,322$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 0c | 26,922$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 15,333$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 12,406$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 0c | 12,087$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…ad87backed Yes | 0c | 11,768$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4e…7196backed Yes | 3c | 11,316$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.47 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…9fdfbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…c780backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 9,838$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…1e9dbacked Yes | 0c | 8,965$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…be8dbacked Yes | 1c | 8,116$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4a…cf81backed Yes | 1c | 7,150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 6,165$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…5c8bbacked Yes | 3c | 6,100$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,925$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 1c | 5,769$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…5a46backed Yes | 3c | 5,314$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…abb9backed Yes | 2c | 5,264$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…5a2fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,240$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,733$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 4,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…7257backed Yes | 3c | 4,014$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 2c | 3,789$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…d4f0backed Yes | 0c | 3,400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd26…fc76backed Yes | 8c | 3,116$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 1c | 3,027$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 8c | 2,999$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.79 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed Yes | 2c | 2,657$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…deaabacked Yes | 1c | 2,586$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1338…3938backed Yes | 7c | 2,146$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…198cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,069$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…5a56backed Yes | 2c | 2,011$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 1c | 1,984$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa470…f6bdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,966$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc3…3e38backed Yes | 6c | 1,889$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06e…f7c2backed Yes | 18c | 1,861$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,559$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9682…738bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,515$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 3c | 1,407$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Yes | 11c | 1,353$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 3c | 1,313$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6010…aa9cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,311$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb33…c3d6backed Yes | 4c | 1,305$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 12c | 1,142$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.12 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…fc15backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +951.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb0backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 12c | 900.27$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.66 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0720…f481backed Yes | 1c | 882.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…0d88backed Yes | 3c | 791.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…b9dbbacked Yes | 2c | 736$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 3c | 693$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc961…37f6backed Yes | 3c | 687$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d74…09ffbacked Yes | 1c | 673.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 7c | 631.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…dbc7backed Yes | 8c | 623.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 4c | 600$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b8…b48bbacked Yes | 3c | 595$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…1f3cbacked Yes | 3c | 580.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…dcb4backed Yes | 3c | 565$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…6fdebacked Yes | 2c | 541.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Yes | 8c | 505.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…2073backed Yes | 2c | 495$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f14…c95cbacked Yes | 3c | 484$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…40fcbacked Yes | 3c | 470$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc356…881dbacked Yes | 4c | 436.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…69d6backed Yes | 5c | 435$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6812…ddd3backed Yes | 3c | 412$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5870…2d0cbacked Yes | 3c | 411$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…a8e1backed Yes | 4c | 405$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…12dbbacked Yes | 3c | 382$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…a7bfbacked Yes | 3c | 377$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6a84backed Yes | 8c | 375.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…633bbacked Yes | 3c | 371$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9e…5aa5backed Yes | 5c | 362$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5191…2a1ebacked Yes | 3c | 352$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0c…f106backed Yes | 3c | 343$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…e3f6backed Yes | 4c | 339$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e1…8fe7backed Yes | 3c | 326$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe5…4e08backed Yes | 9c | 320$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ae…7a93backed Yes | 3c | 308$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab60…b46cbacked Yes | 7c | 303.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 11c | 300.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…13bdbacked Yes | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 7c | 296.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…9dadbacked Yes | 5c | 272$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…d9d8backed Yes | 5c | 266$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…5b70backed Yes | 6c | 263.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa0…f6bfbacked Yes | 5c | 259$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…957ebacked Yes | 5c | 244$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f6…3c85backed Yes | 11c | 227$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fa…59f9backed Yes | 11c | 226$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c05…c535backed Yes | 5c | 212$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked Yes | 14c | 210$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…4986backed Yes | 5c | 201$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…06c3backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?this page
- Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.