TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0167…0d88

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST6344.4%28 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Jayden Daniels win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$32.31
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+62.7%+$50.16
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,228.09
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+203%+$609.09
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Titans vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Browns vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+37%+$36.99
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120.37
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.59
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.13
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$128
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$235.29
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+203%+$203.03
Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Trump nominates Tulsi Gabbard to Cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,564Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+72.4%+$1,132.77
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke advance to the Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+94.5%+$24.56
Will Arizona advance to the Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$488.89
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Houston vs. Dukebacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Arkansas vs. Texas Techbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$628.3
Will Brooks Koepka win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$69.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$251.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+53.8%+$175
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.