Middle East · resolved market
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedb7b548a59f22986cceb2ab50e6d97df6ef5c58a10a2e755f452ef230c522bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $869,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $917,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $869,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 548 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 20c | 83,594$17,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,048.35 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 43c | 74,597$31,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,766.46 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 74c | 43,884$32,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,211.37 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked No | 69c | 43,383$29,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,604.41 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…5208backed No | 62c | 24,093$14,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,258.27 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…9d6abacked Yes | 32c | 22,187$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.74 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…e6e0backed No | 73c | 21,540$15,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,908.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 16c | 20,794$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.54 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 68c | 20,419$13,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,490.14 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…ee2ebacked No | 63c | 18,625$11,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,915.61 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…2339backed No | 44c | 18,097$8,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,061.48 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…e215backed Yes | 5c | 17,760$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +10.6wins | +0.62per pick | 26cpaid | +259.4%equal weight | 78+0.25 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 9c | 16,348$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.02 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…acb7backed No | 75c | 14,959$11,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,774.26 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 21c | 14,959$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…895fbacked Yes | 12c | 14,954$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.2 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 23c | 14,709$3,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,316.37 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed No | 74c | 12,650$9,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.96 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 37c | 11,959$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,424.85 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…e01dbacked Yes | 54c | 11,395$6,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,184.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…fcf0backed Yes | 54c | 10,367$5,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,634.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…44a5backed Yes | 55c | 10,324$5,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,673.12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed Yes | 20c | 10,092$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.6 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x593d…7d5dbacked Yes | 6c | 10,074$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.18 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfd…6e4abacked Yes | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.99 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +10.0wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd520…ac21backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +204.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…15edbacked Yes | 23c | 8,542$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked No | 60c | 7,184$4,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 75c | 7,023$5,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.1 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +73%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…29cdbacked No | 79c | 6,962$5,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.55 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…6d62backed No | 75c | 6,822$5,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.37 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…7210backed No | 60c | 6,182$3,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…58a0backed Yes | 12c | 6,161$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.78 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…ee85backed No | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 40c | 5,733$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,465.67 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4987…804bbacked Yes | 59c | 5,695$3,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 1c | 5,635$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 33c | 5,204$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.74 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 10c | 5,006$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.89 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 70c | 4,634$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.74 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200a…d498backed No | 54c | 4,363$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…10fbbacked Yes | 4c | 4,252$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…29c6backed Yes | 39c | 4,053$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.27 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 50c | 3,872$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.41 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 57c | 3,858$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.36 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…003abacked No | 40c | 3,729$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 74c | 3,500$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…a5bfbacked No | 65c | 3,331$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.76 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked No | 59c | 3,100$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.99 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 38c | 3,002$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.09 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 52c | 2,946$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.15 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…7b0abacked No | 75c | 2,920$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 29c | 2,853$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.42 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x151c…a723backed Yes | 23c | 2,845$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b2…15b5backed No | 46c | 2,831$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…711bbacked No | 52c | 2,629$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…27babacked Yes | 63c | 2,600$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…7f8ebacked Yes | 59c | 2,582$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.64 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc497…767abacked No | 79c | 2,550$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +221.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…396fbacked No | 40c | 2,539$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dc…7283backed Yes | 22c | 2,500$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.99 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…2354backed No | 41c | 2,313$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.84 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 33c | 2,260$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 39c | 2,120$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.4 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked No | 72c | 2,109$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.26 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…2192backed No | 70c | 2,104$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.37 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…28a1backed No | 47c | 2,087$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked No | 51c | 2,008$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.93 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd0…18cdbacked Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb8…9d7cbacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…968dbacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d2…a2a8backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…cf8abacked No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…4fd8backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e8…c9fbbacked Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked No | 77c | 2,000$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…cf78backed Yes | 30c | 1,999$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 6c | 1,973$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 20c | 1,935$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.61 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8630…fe33backed Yes | 26c | 1,909$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…4d25backed No | 71c | 1,908$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ad…8be9backed No | 73c | 1,900$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…c0e9backed Yes | 27c | 1,900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 1,881$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.69 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d55…5ea3backed Yes | 46c | 1,751$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…5c2dbacked No | 77c | 1,700$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 38c | 1,576$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.73 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d4b6backed No | 65c | 1,566$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.53 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…8dc0backed Yes | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 73c | 1,466$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.16 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9339…ed6fbacked No | 69c | 1,459$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…9694backed No | 48c | 1,451$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…2994backed Yes | 38c | 1,438$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…aa22backed No | 63c | 1,401$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacbb…6a7abacked No | 71c | 1,400$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd049…5de7backed Yes | 4c | 1,334$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…a1eabacked No | 43c | 1,324$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 63c | 1,309$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…a663backed No | 46c | 1,234$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.97 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…675abacked No | 74c | 1,220$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.