NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Steelers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8df270e2aa2ded8dee066bcd4ed3506954809479cbe756c6ecf5af6b0ef584c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof Packers, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,007,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,240,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,007,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 870 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Packers | 58c | 1,161,166$674,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486,478.09 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Steelers | 43c | 818,115$351,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351,789.24 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Steelers | 42c | 342,051$144,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144,604.15 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Steelers | 40c | 304,255$123,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,007.3 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Packers | 62c | 154,464$96,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,024.02 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Steelers | 42c | 108,069$45,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,908.53 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Steelers | 42c | 101,303$42,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,547.36 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Steelers | 41c | 101,000$41,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,709.93 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Packers | 57c | 93,800$53,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,334 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Packers | 55c | 90,174$49,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,826.84 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Steelers | 27c | 66,253$17,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,764.28 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Steelers | 45c | 59,551$26,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,850.61 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Packers | 57c | 52,632$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,631.58 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Packers | 57c | 52,140$29,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,420.25 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Steelers | 41c | 50,000$20,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,500 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Steelers | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Packers | 57c | 42,532$24,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,226.25 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Steelers | 9c | 41,250$3,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,663.7 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Packers | 59c | 40,600$23,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,645.92 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Steelers | 41c | 40,000$16,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,400 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Packers | 60c | 38,582$23,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,288.27 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Steelers | 36c | 37,527$13,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,561.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Packers | 58c | 37,308$21,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,669.44 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Packers | 56c | 36,902$20,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,237.05 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Packers | 58c | 35,386$20,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,862.29 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Steelers | 41c | 34,954$14,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,331.16 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Steelers | 50c | 34,429$17,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,159.39 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Packers | 58c | 32,905$18,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,949.96 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Steelers | 30c | 31,142$9,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,386.83 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…64a0backed Packers | 59c | 31,030$18,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,722.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Steelers | 10c | 29,930$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.89 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Packers | 57c | 29,500$16,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,684.98 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Steelers | 70c | 28,162$19,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,703.36 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Packers | 57c | 25,000$14,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,850 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Steelers | 55c | 23,271$12,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,693.62 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…74e9backed Packers | 21c | 22,500$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,775 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…2867backed Steelers | 0c | 20,549$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 89 | 10.1%9 W · 80 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Packers | 54c | 20,488$11,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,441.93 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Steelers | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Steelers | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Packers | 58c | 17,241$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,241.38 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Packers | 58c | 17,069$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,168.97 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Steelers | 20c | 16,782$3,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.47 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Steelers | 0c | 15,990$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Steelers | 62c | 15,801$9,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,789.66 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Packers | 57c | 15,294$8,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,572.5 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Packers | 59c | 14,817$8,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,075.36 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Packers | 57c | 12,016$6,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,163.72 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Packers | 58c | 10,523$6,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,419.84 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Steelers | 44c | 10,363$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Packers | 62c | 10,348$6,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,889.77 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…8eaabacked Steelers | 0c | 10,152$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Steelers | 41c | 10,127$4,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,154.62 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…1411backed Steelers | 0c | 10,008$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Steelers | 0c | 9,955$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Steelers | 61c | 9,924$6,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,023.62 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked Packers | 31c | 9,818$3,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,726.02 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Packers | 50c | 9,590$4,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,747.79 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Packers | 58c | 9,548$5,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,045.72 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a3…911ebacked Steelers | 41c | 8,847$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,627.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Steelers | 53c | 8,595$4,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,540.31 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…7f41backed Steelers | 56c | 7,981$4,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,483.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Steelers | 1c | 7,620$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Packers | 59c | 7,551$4,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.89 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Steelers | 41c | 7,500$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Packers | 70c | 7,050$4,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.47 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Packers | 58c | 6,900$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Steelers | 45c | 6,897$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Steelers | 41c | 6,439$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.82 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked Steelers | 40c | 6,399$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…cc98backed Packers | 58c | 6,031$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…0d88backed Steelers | 20c | 6,007$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.09 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Steelers | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.98 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Packers | 59c | 5,850$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.46 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Packers | 57c | 5,550$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.27 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Steelers | 58c | 5,416$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.79 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Steelers | 19c | 5,323$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.57 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…8b69backed Steelers | 43c | 5,233$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Packers | 58c | 5,153$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.3 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Packers | 57c | 5,119$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.58 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Packers | 25c | 5,000$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,730 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Packers | 70c | 4,829$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.24 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e1…82a6backed Steelers | 41c | 4,688$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…7683backed Steelers | 42c | 4,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43f…ec95backed Packers | 59c | 4,500$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Packers | 51c | 4,494$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.8 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Packers | 54c | 4,382$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.21 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Steelers | 4c | 4,219$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.96 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Steelers | 41c | 4,185$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.85 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Packers | 78c | 4,103$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.56 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Packers | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Steelers | 43c | 3,905$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Steelers | 41c | 3,901$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.67 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Steelers | 39c | 3,846$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Packers | 61c | 3,678$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.63 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Packers | 57c | 3,664$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.47 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49a7…5f17backed Steelers | 28c | 3,588$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Steelers | 39c | 3,536$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.27 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf434…d714backed Steelers | 43c | 3,267$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…a9f5backed Packers | 58c | 3,267$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Packers vs. Steelersthis page
- 1H Spread: Packers (-2.5)Steelers won
- Packers vs. Steelers: 1H MoneylineSteelers won
- Packers vs. Steelers: O/U 44.5Over won
- Packers vs. Steelers: O/U 45.5Over won
- Packers vs. Steelers: O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-3.5)Packers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.