NFL · resolved market
Spread: Packers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8686eb3ea9968a185f7a6deda9b40acbc2dd66644896b81b37d1710484f1573
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof Packers, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Packers | 45c | 158,915$71,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,843.05 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Steelers | 56c | 94,386$52,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,856.09 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Steelers | 58c | 29,735$17,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,246.57 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Steelers | 54c | 25,190$13,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,589.21 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Steelers | 59c | 24,981$14,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,620.56 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Packers | 42c | 19,799$8,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,468.96 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Packers | 43c | 17,600$7,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,032 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Steelers | 57c | 17,500$9,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,975 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Packers | 42c | 10,228$4,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,932.27 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Packers | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.99 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Steelers | 58c | 8,639$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.33 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Steelers | 54c | 5,229$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.16 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Steelers | 54c | 5,183$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.87 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Packers | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Steelers | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.99 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Steelers | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Steelers | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Packers | 43c | 3,621$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.78 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Steelers | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Steelers | 57c | 2,927$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.8 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Packers | 42c | 2,619$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.73 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Steelers | 47c | 2,404$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b68…6d02backed Packers | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +136.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x301e…3f91backed Packers | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Steelers | 56c | 1,875$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Steelers | 59c | 1,736$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Steelers | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Packers | 44c | 1,591$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.91 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcde5…32b5backed Packers | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Steelers | 59c | 1,485$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…dd42backed Packers | 44c | 1,134$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Packers | 53c | 1,123$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.89 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Steelers | 57c | 1,082$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.82 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Steelers | 56c | 1,038$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.87 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Steelers | 6c | 1,033$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Packers | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Steelers | 57c | 978.66$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.84 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Packers | 45c | 921$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.55 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Packers | 42c | 708.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.41 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Packers | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Packers | 44c | 608$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.48 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Steelers | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7448…b4cfbacked Packers | 43c | 525$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…3a70backed Steelers | 57c | 525$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Steelers | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…94abbacked Packers | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Steelers | 57c | 467$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.19 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Steelers | 53c | 443.95$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.41 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a7…9cb1backed Steelers | 53c | 390$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Steelers | 59c | 340$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…57d5backed Steelers | 59c | 332.64$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.26 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Packers | 43c | 330$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Steelers | 57c | 285$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.45 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Steelers | 57c | 274.02$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.93 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…2a91backed Packers | 44c | 265.91$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.91 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…f856backed Steelers | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…d1d9backed Steelers | 57c | 255$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Packers | 64c | 255$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Packers | 43c | 251.83$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.54 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Packers | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Packers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4091…726abacked Packers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Packers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Packers | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Steelers | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f95…8100backed Steelers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Packers | 43c | 166$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Steelers | 58c | 163.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb98…0275backed Steelers | 57c | 158.93$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Steelers | 59c | 156.93$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Steelers | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…f97cbacked Packers | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…ff5bbacked Packers | 44c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…5897backed Packers | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Packers | 42c | 131$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 120 | 31.7%38 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Packers | 41c | 121.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…0c7dbacked Packers | 44c | 115$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…5531backed Packers | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa41…bb20backed Steelers | 59c | 110.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8984…8af8backed Packers | 42c | 110$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…ab9dbacked Packers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Steelers | 58c | 102.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Steelers | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…a6c4backed Steelers | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Steelers | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Packers | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11bb…bf79backed Steelers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Steelers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b8…e7d5backed Steelers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…adc1backed Packers | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Packers | 43c | 63.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Packers | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a2…1a06backed Packers | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x408e…6cddbacked Packers | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Packers | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Steelers | 59c | 52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c3…3800backed Packers | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…e717backed Packers | 44c | 45.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0555…cc10backed Packers | 44c | 43.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…1f07backed Packers | 69c | 43.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Packers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Packers (-2.5)Steelers won
- Packers vs. SteelersPackers won
- Packers vs. Steelers: 1H MoneylineSteelers won
- Packers vs. Steelers: O/U 44.5Over won
- Packers vs. Steelers: O/U 45.5Over won
- Packers vs. Steelers: O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)Packers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.