TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd7ee…dd42

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST2433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia vs. Mississippi Statebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$56.13
Miami (OH) vs. Ohiobacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Hawaii vs. San Jose Statebacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Georgia Tech vs. NC Statebacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Wake Forest vs. Florida Statebacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
USC vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Michigan State vs. Minnesotabacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Pittsburgh vs. Stanfordbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Virginia vs. Californiabacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Notre Dame vs. Boston Collegebacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Indiana vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Fresno State vs. Boise Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$879.99
Navy vs. North Texasbacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Rutgers vs. Illinoisbacked Rutgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Buffalo vs. Bowlingbacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Vanderbilt vs. Texasbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Penn State vs. Ohio State: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
North Carolina vs. Syracusebacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+129.5%+$777.11
Spread: Louisiana Tech (-16.5)backed Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$549
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Louisiana Techbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$450
Houston vs. Arizona Statebacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$2,333.33
Missouri vs. Vanderbiltbacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$199
Ole Miss vs. Oklahomabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+173.5%+$2,081.67
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+254.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$699.64
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+177.8%+$533.33
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+284.6%+$1,992.31
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$867Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$867.16
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+1,011.1%+$254.8
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+117.4%+$252.39
Bruins vs. Islandersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+100%+$29.1
Rangers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Wild vs. Devilsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$149
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$611.11
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$484.23
Spread: Packers (-3.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$635.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+92.1%+$510.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close between $3700 and $3800 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$265.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.