College Football · resolved market
Buffalo vs. Bowling
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e24cc3e501afcf8d09a77fe79c139fa32b4b4e54e7dcea7a0d464697c41519f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buffaloof Buffalo, Bowling
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Buffalo | 46c | 27,734$12,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,060.64 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Buffalo | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.99 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Bowling | 54c | 14,054$7,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,588.9 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Bowling | 54c | 13,421$7,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,247.52 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bowling | 55c | 7,435$4,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,083.49 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bowling | 32c | 7,363$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.16 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Buffalo | 45c | 7,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bowling | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Bowling | 55c | 4,541$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.79 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Bowling | 57c | 3,526$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Buffalo | 45c | 2,757$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.2 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Bowling | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Bowling | 55c | 1,410$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.37 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbc…93ebbacked Bowling | 55c | 1,281$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…0da6backed Buffalo | 46c | 1,272$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Buffalo | 44c | 1,102$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.03 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Buffalo | 43c | 1,052$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.62 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Buffalo | 52c | 938.87$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.03 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Buffalo | 44c | 782.45$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.55 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Buffalo | 44c | 750$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Bowling | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bowling | 24c | 567.63$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.76 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bowling | 57c | 501$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.57 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Buffalo | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Bowling | 5c | 350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bowling | 28c | 330.64$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Buffalo | 72c | 288.9$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bowling | 55c | 286.51$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bowling | 22c | 260$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Buffalo | 61c | 254.61$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Buffalo | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Bowling | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Bowling | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Bowling | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bowling | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bowling | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…d476backed Bowling | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…dd42backed Buffalo | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Buffalo | 44c | 108$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Bowling | 55c | 106.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Buffalo | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…9629backed Buffalo | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…87b8backed Bowling | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Bowling | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…6202backed Bowling | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Buffalo | 72c | 59.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Bowling | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…e313backed Buffalo | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…cabfbacked Buffalo | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…4dd0backed Bowling | 55c | 26.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf624…ae4fbacked Buffalo | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x075c…d827backed Bowling | 55c | 25.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Buffalo vs. Bowlingthis page
- O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Bowling (-1.5)Buffalo won
- Spread: Bowling (-2.5)Buffalo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.