College Football · resolved market
O/U 43.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1da08371795d8b2d740aef01ae5493321fdd97db7b3a96e89c6ab20119fb167f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 12,346$6,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,173 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 7,780$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,865.17 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 50c | 4,848$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…c6a4backed Under | 51c | 1,740$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…1faabacked Under | 51c | 1,499$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 51c | 1,470$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.3 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd56…ddc7backed Over | 49c | 963$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117e…7478backed Under | 51c | 955$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09c…bc3dbacked Over | 49c | 875$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9993…a11cbacked Over | 49c | 865$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…4f31backed Over | 49c | 687$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f30…ac7fbacked Over | 49c | 536$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8576…21e0backed Over | 49c | 490$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf108…83a3backed Over | 49c | 486$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2861…b770backed Over | 49c | 469$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7bcdbacked Over | 49c | 314$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022f…645cbacked Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc0…4053backed Over | 49c | 288$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…5794backed Under | 51c | 280$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9811…3827backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…a8b2backed Under | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c64…d791backed Under | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x360e…9d19backed Under | 51c | 145$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…a2fcbacked Under | 51c | 132$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb803…5a53backed Under | 51c | 126$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…dda0backed Under | 51c | 76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…d53fbacked Over | 49c | 59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…24c6backed Under | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…20b1backed Under | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45a2…73c6backed Under | 51c | 52.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86b…79debacked Over | 49c | 52.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…8a3bbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ff…1e37backed Over | 49c | 48.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…70f1backed Under | 51c | 48.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c9…4e74backed Under | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…a6d3backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 43.5this page
- Buffalo vs. BowlingBuffalo won
- Spread: Bowling (-1.5)Buffalo won
- Spread: Bowling (-2.5)Buffalo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.