College Football · resolved market
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe264686d45c0e3ff106b9ecf9d1a567518737acefb5cbf335a438c15c7b00ba7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahomaof Tennessee, Oklahoma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Tennessee | 53c | 91,839$48,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,656.41 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Oklahoma | 47c | 89,554$42,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,463.62 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Oklahoma | 47c | 18,625$8,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,938.8 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tennessee | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oklahoma | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.99 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Tennessee | 52c | 1,844$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.72 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Tennessee | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…dd42backed Tennessee | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Oklahoma | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Tennessee | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Tennessee | 51c | 895.64$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.78 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Tennessee | 46c | 750$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.6 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Oklahoma | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.6 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c8…f2efbacked Oklahoma | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Oklahoma | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Tennessee | 51c | 204.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Oklahoma | 49c | 202.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oklahoma | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Tennessee | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…a079backed Tennessee | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Tennessee | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Tennessee | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)this page
- O/U 57.5Over won
- Oklahoma vs. TennesseeOklahoma won
- Oklahoma vs. Tennessee: 1H MoneylineOklahoma won
- Oklahoma vs. Tennessee: O/U 55.5Over won
- Oklahoma vs. Tennessee: O/U 56.5Over won
- Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)Oklahoma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.