College Football · resolved market
Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32954c7cf824d0704080771446dca9284d6e041a6b94e9f8e83778c756c99de9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahomaof Tennessee, Oklahoma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tennessee | 46c | 47,082$21,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,884.11 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Oklahoma | 56c | 43,406$24,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,017.79 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Tennessee | 43c | 11,087$4,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,767.35 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oklahoma | 55c | 8,552$4,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.31 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Oklahoma | 54c | 6,733$3,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.26 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Oklahoma | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tennessee | 43c | 5,981$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.7 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Oklahoma | 57c | 5,540$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.4 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Oklahoma | 56c | 4,662$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.52 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Tennessee | 44c | 3,613$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.82 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Tennessee | 44c | 3,454$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.72 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…9ed3backed Tennessee | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Oklahoma | 52c | 2,260$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.1 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Oklahoma | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Tennessee | 43c | 1,880$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Tennessee | 43c | 1,710$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.3 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Tennessee | 43c | 1,710$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.17 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bc…45c3backed Tennessee | 44c | 1,405$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…4f34backed Oklahoma | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Oklahoma | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Oklahoma | 2c | 946$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.08 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Tennessee | 43c | 912.58$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.41 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602b…ea56backed Tennessee | 43c | 900$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…1866backed Tennessee | 43c | 860$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Oklahoma | 54c | 857.53$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.35 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…81a2backed Oklahoma | 57c | 760$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Tennessee | 43c | 744.19$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Tennessee | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…1471backed Oklahoma | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac49…8e2cbacked Oklahoma | 57c | 630$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…84f4backed Tennessee | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…96fcbacked Tennessee | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Oklahoma | 58c | 594.83$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.83 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oklahoma | 51c | 593$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.57 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5478backed Oklahoma | 57c | 570$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Tennessee | 43c | 556$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.08 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12c…abadbacked Tennessee | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2f20backed Oklahoma | 57c | 470$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Oklahoma | 54c | 462$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd887…bbf3backed Tennessee | 43c | 450$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…e1c2backed Tennessee | 43c | 450$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e80…0270backed Oklahoma | 57c | 430$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…a1aabacked Oklahoma | 57c | 420$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Oklahoma | 54c | 400$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…3af1backed Tennessee | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d25…3112backed Oklahoma | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Oklahoma | 58c | 336.29$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Tennessee | 43c | 286.92$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.38 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Tennessee | 46c | 217.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Oklahoma | 57c | 185$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed Oklahoma | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…2286backed Tennessee | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tennessee | 43c | 128.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Tennessee | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Tennessee | 43c | 118.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Tennessee | 43c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Tennessee | 45c | 108.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Oklahoma | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Tennessee | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oklahoma | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Oklahoma | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Tennessee | 45c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Tennessee | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Oklahoma | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Oklahoma | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…d3fbbacked Tennessee | 45c | 28.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed Oklahoma | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)this page
- O/U 57.5Over won
- Oklahoma vs. TennesseeOklahoma won
- Oklahoma vs. Tennessee: 1H MoneylineOklahoma won
- Oklahoma vs. Tennessee: O/U 55.5Over won
- Oklahoma vs. Tennessee: O/U 56.5Over won
- Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)Oklahoma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.