College Football · resolved market
North Carolina vs. Syracuse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4841b309a14de1972ea872b169405cccc5fdf3ad456ca90604aed1a6603c0b35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolinaof North Carolina, Syracuse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,348,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,358,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,348,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Syracuse | 53c | 979,866$519,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519,335.55 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed North Carolina | 47c | 315,238$147,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167,319.35 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed North Carolina | 47c | 263,727$124,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,914.5 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina | 47c | 62,835$29,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,310.84 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed North Carolina | 47c | 60,121$28,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,662.72 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed North Carolina | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Syracuse | 45c | 49,959$22,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,695.55 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed North Carolina | 48c | 48,453$23,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,321.53 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked North Carolina | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,800 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed North Carolina | 45c | 38,492$17,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,046.05 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed North Carolina | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,900 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed North Carolina | 46c | 30,000$13,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,102.47 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked North Carolina | 46c | 29,004$13,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,633.08 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed North Carolina | 47c | 26,570$12,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,081.91 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked North Carolina | 47c | 22,841$10,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,105.73 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked North Carolina | 46c | 20,005$9,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,802.65 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Syracuse | 57c | 17,682$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed North Carolina | 46c | 10,403$4,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,586.65 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed North Carolina | 48c | 9,656$4,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,045.12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Syracuse | 52c | 8,961$4,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,698.33 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Syracuse | 59c | 7,786$4,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,616.11 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed North Carolina | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked North Carolina | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…64eebacked North Carolina | 40c | 6,686$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,043.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +153%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Syracuse | 1c | 5,398$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Syracuse | 43c | 4,500$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed North Carolina | 44c | 4,301$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.77 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Syracuse | 40c | 4,000$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.99 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked North Carolina | 53c | 3,793$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.09 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Syracuse | 44c | 3,678$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.19 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…1d5fbacked Syracuse | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed North Carolina | 47c | 3,541$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.59 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Syracuse | 48c | 3,480$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.83 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked North Carolina | 41c | 3,332$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.02 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d7…126cbacked Syracuse | 72c | 3,175$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Syracuse | 2c | 3,038$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed North Carolina | 37c | 3,008$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.04 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked North Carolina | 48c | 2,300$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked North Carolina | 47c | 2,285$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.85 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Syracuse | 54c | 2,221$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed North Carolina | 48c | 2,200$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed North Carolina | 61c | 2,176$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.3 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked North Carolina | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Syracuse | 72c | 2,017$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.96 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed North Carolina | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Syracuse | 54c | 1,800$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.2 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Syracuse | 63c | 1,598$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Syracuse | 44c | 1,539$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.96 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Syracuse | 39c | 1,499$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.58 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…dd42backed North Carolina | 44c | 1,377$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.11 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Syracuse | 45c | 1,307$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.31 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Syracuse | 1c | 1,277$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Syracuse | 54c | 1,271$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.34 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Syracuse | 45c | 1,235$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.34 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed North Carolina | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.42 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cad…994fbacked North Carolina | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…69cdbacked Syracuse | 54c | 1,136$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked North Carolina | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked North Carolina | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…88f2backed Syracuse | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Syracuse | 44c | 962.66$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.65 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5216…fe0bbacked North Carolina | 45c | 909$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Syracuse | 55c | 909$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Syracuse | 54c | 843.98$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.75 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed North Carolina | 52c | 810.19$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.74 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Syracuse | 7c | 794.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Syracuse | 2c | 773.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…a074backed North Carolina | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Syracuse | 42c | 613.33$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.09 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked North Carolina | 40c | 599.96$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.15 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked North Carolina | 51c | 590$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.9 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked North Carolina | 44c | 532.7$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Syracuse | 52c | 521.22$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.86 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83a…3609backed North Carolina | 62c | 466.16$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…698abacked Syracuse | 3c | 452.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0f…ed5fbacked North Carolina | 46c | 450$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…9732backed Syracuse | 53c | 450$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086d…fe29backed North Carolina | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Syracuse | 55c | 401.76$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.97 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Syracuse | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e1…f652backed North Carolina | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.89 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Syracuse | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b6…bc8abacked Syracuse | 72c | 318.81$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed North Carolina | 46c | 310.87$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.87 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Syracuse | 32c | 300$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Syracuse | 54c | 283.41$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.04 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…675fbacked North Carolina | 47c | 265.35$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked North Carolina | 45c | 263.63$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.29 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbccf…5f55backed North Carolina | 46c | 230$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked North Carolina | 40c | 222$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed North Carolina | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed North Carolina | 36c | 219.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.71 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Syracuse | 55c | 216.36$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed North Carolina | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…a062backed Syracuse | 53c | 204$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Syracuse | 46c | 203.73$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Syracuse | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed North Carolina | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed43…d454backed Syracuse | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Syracuse | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Carolina vs. Syracusethis page
- North Carolina vs. Syracuse: O/U 45.5Under won
- O/U 46.5Under won
- Spread: Syracuse (-1.5)North Carolina won
- Spread: Syracuse (-2.5)North Carolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.