TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

North Carolina vs. Syracuse: O/U 45.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$329,349
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$329,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,349 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed Over52c240,158$125,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,441.84955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Under48c92,356$44,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,209.7716635.5%59 W · 107 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Under47c77,600$36,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,1283842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over49c37,275$18,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,264.7993548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Under49c25,100$12,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,80075651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c20,942$10,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,880.232,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Under51c19,809$10,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,710.545440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Under51c10,031$5,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,915.3732745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,08052641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c7,000$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,43038142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Under49c5,010$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.185947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa99f…3d8abacked Over50c4,726$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,36330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x553b…03ffbacked Over50c3,782$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under50c3,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,75038546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under49c3,030$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.349253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53017837.6%67 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1a3…ad63backed Under50c2,571$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under48c2,523$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.931,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e0…900fbacked Under51c1,888$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd20c…e261backed Under50c1,758$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f7…76cdbacked Under50c1,728$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8479backed Under51c1,699$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20c3…060dbacked Under50c1,684$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa64b…3142backed Under51c1,644$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…9678backed Over49c1,432$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe595…3ce7backed Under51c1,414$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca29…996fbacked Over49c1,388$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4080…e6cebacked Over50c1,357$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5c3…8769backed Over49c1,351$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09a8…58a2backed Over49c1,306$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9a…893bbacked Under51c1,287$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.632100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d9b…c49fbacked Over50c1,278$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63940%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdfd…3b0cbacked Over49c1,277$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x331d…c284backed Under51c1,267$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.834100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2c3…1a3bbacked Over49c1,189$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…55a4backed Under51c1,165$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…b1debacked Over49c1,126$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.74450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8240…faa1backed Under50c1,107$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cfe…af2cbacked Over49c1,101$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa871…5841backed Over49c1,022$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…d90bbacked Under51c1,021$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d6…b0f2backed Over49c1,012$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5306440.6%26 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc01…8397backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f0…1567backed Over49c988$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf2a…f17bbacked Over50c963$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa201…c304backed Under50c952$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5048…dbc3backed Under50c951$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bc7…53a3backed Over49c950$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee4…af0abacked Under50c917$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd317…526cbacked Under51c900$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab7…41bbbacked Under51c900$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e45…9ad7backed Under51c900$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99da…0c31backed Under51c890$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d5…0cafbacked Over49c865$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1761…31cbbacked Over49c863$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.87475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x114d…d8e3backed Over49c852$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.48450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x724c…0105backed Over49c850$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x500f…88efbacked Under51c815$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x403d…ba61backed Under51c802$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc1…ad92backed Over49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9b…8275backed Over49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb79f…0791backed Over49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ee…d891backed Under50c786$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94b9…2d7bbacked Over50c775$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Under52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.233043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x193d…5848backed Under51c768$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8025…31dcbacked Over49c750$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ea…6781backed Under51c750$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x534a…b7f7backed Under51c723$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.27475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe81b…5b93backed Under51c701$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb4…f880backed Over49c678$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda01…8f97backed Over49c655$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+54.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf103…1b74backed Under51c650$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc916…876abacked Under51c650$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9896…5f41backed Under51c614$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.86450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc62…0dfebacked Under51c601$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb26…e8f1backed Over49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf47b…119dbacked Under51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2943100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x529a…d21cbacked Over49c554$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6499…b66cbacked Under51c551$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3be8…cb92backed Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cfc…365cbacked Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1566…320cbacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb850…b580backed Over49c456$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf848…9b7cbacked Under50c427$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2bd…3ccabacked Over49c325$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.25450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b5…fb1fbacked Over49c289$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6140%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ec8…eaefbacked Over51c205$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.551643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0338…4f11backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0830253%160 W · 142 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…36e8backed Over51c188$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Under47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.514254.9%78 W · 64 L+12.3wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa62a…8145backed Over49c133$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3735…e301backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0417946.9%84 W · 95 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef68…9cdfbacked Under51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x375e…6c94backed Under49c49.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.52536%9 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.