TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ec8…eaef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+98%+$9.9
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$17.6
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.95
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+32.1%+$13.33
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+31.8%+$9.65
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Heat vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+25%+$20.8
Heat vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$14.75
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
Nets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$55.08
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23.92
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+85.2%+$47.38
Kings vs. Bucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$133.2
All 18 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Tulane (-9.5)backed Temple · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Hawaii vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
Spread: Florida State (-6.5)backed Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Miami (OH) vs. Buffalobacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+163.2%+$62
Spread: Texas A&M (-17.5)backed South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Minnesota vs. Oregon: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$51.39
O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Ohio vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Texas State vs. Louisianabacked Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$64.48
Spread: Duke (-9.5)backed UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+78.6%+$73.03
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25.76
Temple vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+44.9%+$47.43
UCF vs. Baylorbacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80.8
North Carolina vs. Syracuse: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.55
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick50cpaid-71.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+113.9%+$54.84
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+91.7%+$14.35
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$55.65
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$109.2
Chiefs vs. Bills: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+132.6%+$111.15
All 6 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+95.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Brown vs. Bonfimbacked Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$37.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+36.1%+$5.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+35.1%+$30.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahce vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$53
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$136
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.