TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Ohio vs. Western Michigan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Western Michiganof Ohio, Western Michigan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,274,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,298,855

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,274,780 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 553 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Ohio49c718,957$352,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352,288.9212549.6%62 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Western Michigan51c144,902$73,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,058.7534250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Western Michigan51c103,532$52,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,730.446547.7%31 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Western Michigan50c67,636$33,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,821.4881847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Western Michigan51c54,585$27,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,746.7316635.5%59 W · 107 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Western Michigan66c54,340$35,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,452.419362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Ohio48c46,302$22,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,225.1193548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Western Michigan51c44,639$22,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,935.67944.3%35 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Western Michigan51c43,700$22,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,420.7165945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Western Michigan51c40,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,599.999750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Western Michigan51c36,990$18,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,139.529249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Western Michigan51c35,000$17,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,15012055%66 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Ohio50c35,000$17,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,50011846.6%55 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Western Michigan51c33,817$17,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,570.3326147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Western Michigan51c30,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,7006046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Ohio49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,7003542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Western Michigan45c27,611$12,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,185.7914743.5%64 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Western Michigan52c24,030$12,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,612.3668440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Western Michigan50c19,917$9,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,007.99540%38 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Western Michigan50c19,177$9,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,527.122,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Western Michigan51c17,667$9,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,657.035141.2%21 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8525…f152backed Ohio50c17,500$8,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,7501338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Western Michigan50c17,000$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,5005152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Western Michigan50c16,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,00010046%46 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Ohio49c15,000$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3507545.3%34 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Western Michigan50c12,222$6,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1117853.8%42 W · 36 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Western Michigan51c11,855$6,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,752.559457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Western Michigan51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9008948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Western Michigan51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,92038142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Western Michigan50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0003116.1%5 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-62.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Western Michigan52c7,645$3,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,683.1220450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1f…010dbacked Western Michigan49c7,264$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,704.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3008…e7a3backed Ohio51c7,260$3,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,702.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Western Michigan51c6,802$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,322.044746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ohio23c5,507$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.3362843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Western Michigan51c5,470$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,680.36842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ohio31c5,002$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.5458850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Ohio50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.0538546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Western Michigan52c4,731$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,270.777146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Western Michigan51c4,271$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107.1314752.4%77 W · 70 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Ohio1c4,245$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4513149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Ohio13c4,244$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.630949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Ohio49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96011541.7%48 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9146…5f30backed Western Michigan51c3,686$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.372653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Western Michigan50c3,433$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.1921644.9%97 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Ohio16c3,359$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.8864841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Ohio34c3,265$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1008043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Ohio31c3,086$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.8286243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Ohio50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50017837.6%67 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7780…f218backed Ohio50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x618d…aadcbacked Western Michigan50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed Western Michigan51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Western Michigan55c2,202$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.2117443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Western Michigan47c2,174$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.0749443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb0c…122dbacked Ohio50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Ohio48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9602245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Western Michigan51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d1…4ebcbacked Western Michigan49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Western Michigan49c1,800$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.2134529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Western Michigan45c1,783$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.8975651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Western Michigan46c1,626$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.745556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Western Michigan51c1,600$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7846835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ohio34c1,516$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.8721538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Ohio49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7352725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x442a…7c94backed Ohio54c1,437$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa63f…7a4bbacked Western Michigan61c1,405$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.66955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Western Michigan46c1,333$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9254243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Western Michigan49c1,292$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.424654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Ohio47c1,200$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56925629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Western Michigan46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64847131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Ohio34c1,129$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.0920553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Ohio29c1,100$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31426750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Western Michigan49c1,077$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.7121348.8%104 W · 109 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Ohio49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Western Michigan51c1,020$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.83240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed Ohio50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Ohio48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Ohio48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Ohio50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcea…e87dbacked Western Michigan51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Western Michigan51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9912746.5%59 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Western Michigan51c980$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.219051.6%98 W · 92 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Ohio1c969.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.69490%0 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecd3…4285backed Ohio56c909.77$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.471741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Ohio49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3924744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Western Michigan48c794.42$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.0750358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Ohio53c758.91$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005060%30 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x855d…349fbacked Western Michigan52c708.13$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.91250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e31…9150backed Ohio50c680.26$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4adb…2d93backed Western Michigan49c654.55$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Ohio52c640$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.82138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf338…e7c5backed Western Michigan49c632.31$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b9…4328backed Ohio50c604.93$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1822…0e6abacked Ohio7c600$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cc7…cf77backed Ohio50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006645.5%30 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf88f…c334backed Western Michigan51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked Western Michigan51c599.25$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.25450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5276…74ddbacked Western Michigan52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.921050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Western Michigan51c555$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.956949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Western Michigan56c528$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.7840244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.