TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5276…74dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST3053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+100%+$700
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$534
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$646.15
Clippers vs. Magic: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+100%+$500
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+112.8%+$563.83
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+78.6%+$785.71
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+82%+$410.22
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$250
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+112.8%+$451.06
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Hawks vs. Kingsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+40.6%+$325.03
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$133.02
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$245.45
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Sabres vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+96.1%+$672.55
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+127.3%+$636.36
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,100
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+170.3%+$851.35
Senators vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Blues vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$409.09
Blue Jackets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Devils vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+69.5%+$486.44
Blues vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Sharks vs. Krakenbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$97.87
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Oilers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+96.1%+$288.24
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$186.72
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+132.8%+$265.58
All 19 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Florida State (-5.5)backed NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+101%+$505
Spread: Central Michigan (-9.5)backed Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$563.83
Wyoming vs. Fresno Statebacked Wyoming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$400
TCU vs. BYUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$140.23
Boise State vs. San Diego Statebacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$494.09
Spread: Toledo (-4.5)backed Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$122.73
Toledo vs. Miami (OH)backed Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+85.7%+$300.09
Ohio vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$276.92
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$270
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+158.7%+$793.47
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$165.58
Will Ethereum dip to $3,100 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+433.1%+$2,598.46
Will Bitcoin dip to $98,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+233.3%+$1,050
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$200
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$541.67
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+44.1%+$220.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.