TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Magic: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,273 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5224…0de8backed Over49c21,616$10,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,931.65658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c19,183$9,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,740.029,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over49c12,563$6,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,407.0415545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5501,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under52c4,536$2,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,353.3847748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over50c3,732$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.3985742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Under52c3,000$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.8518047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5276…74ddbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ac0…a220backed Over49c991.96$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.91050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over47c824.09$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.7762744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under51c803.92$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41035651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027247.8%130 W · 142 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under51c488.08$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9236248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5243…8751backed Over48c432$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Under54c380$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.220754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c375$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.53,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Under14c338.46$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.384573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Under50c304.19$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.134645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under52c299.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15634645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c287$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.618,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15f4…7e6bbacked Over49c268$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.681250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bbe…9e96backed Over48c257$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x519c…d2d2backed Over48c253$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Under31c251.85$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.371631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71d2…0963backed Under54c244$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c1…3ff6backed Under54c243$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.11742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…0c83backed Over48c241$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04be…1e0cbacked Under54c219$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…79f9backed Over50c214.76$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.535046%23 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f2e…94d7backed Over50c213.98$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeac…860abacked Under54c212$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.48837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4417…4309backed Over48c207$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46bf…ed13backed Under53c206$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19fb…8a80backed Over48c203$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69dc…336dbacked Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10212950.4%65 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…7999backed Over48c199$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4075…24d1backed Over48c194$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d3e…30e2backed Under54c189$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0640%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ddb…4c28backed Over48c182$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.64475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8427…1067backed Under54c178$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7fc…87cdbacked Over48c178$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeea…cadebacked Over48c176$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under51c160.78$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8262347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb894…1fe7backed Over48c160$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b34…cef1backed Over48c152$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x149d…a1d5backed Over48c146$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d8c…af5ebacked Over48c146$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebd5…1f19backed Under53c143$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8d…043dbacked Over48c141$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55fd…dd4dbacked Under54c139$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.06520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6058…e5f6backed Over48c139$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…b82abacked Over48c138$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbfe…64eebacked Under53c138$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.14837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c8…329fbacked Over48c137$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x527d…ceb1backed Under54c136$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.44825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b8f…800fbacked Under54c135$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd755…9780backed Under54c134$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8034…5b5dbacked Over48c133$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over48c131.02$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.132,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f44…31adbacked Under54c131$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.74520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe342…32bcbacked Over48c130$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Under51c125$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7511951.3%61 W · 58 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c49…d703backed Under53c125$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed Under52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656541.5%27 W · 38 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8148…5f30backed Under54c124$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.96812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick52cpaid-76%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8224…b6c8backed Under54c123$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.91,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60cc…512dbacked Under54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7b…6aaebacked Under54c119$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6178…aacebacked Under54c111$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe878…be23backed Under54c110$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick52cpaid-75.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x615f…01e4backed Under54c109$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.86714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick45cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bc5…6ff7backed Under54c108$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.32520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x915d…0d5abacked Under54c108$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.32580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+50.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1c5…a220backed Under54c105$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04e5…b8ffbacked Under51c101.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0108…a80fbacked Over48c101$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb198…cd91backed Under54c95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bc…201fbacked Under54c93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x562d…2c7bbacked Under53c86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.58616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x273d…0bf9backed Over49c85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.35955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf50…34f4backed Under54c62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4850%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Over80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1012050%60 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef44…86a5backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.673351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011848.3%57 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa709…8d1dbacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.468955.1%49 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ac…e166backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018757.2%107 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over48c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.721,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…79c2backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ce…77eabacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.