TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Magic: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,662 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c39,905$19,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,146.549,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under50c19,600$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,80029351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under48c17,534$8,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,485.451,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Over52c16,165$8,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,679.598438.1%32 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c14,483$7,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,241.54,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed Over52c13,400$6,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,431.963351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e92…26debacked Over51c7,068$3,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,430.296100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5224…0de8backed Over51c4,035$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.945658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1013…87d5backed Over52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9208863.6%56 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96051753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over50c2,945$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under48c2,549$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.2447748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8331…965abacked Over53c2,412$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.864755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.782951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under47c1,429$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.242,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Under13c1,097$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.664573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under49c1,017$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.240350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x685e…6f30backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49010757.9%62 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51018047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3946258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Under51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50036943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under48c977.65$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.272,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Over52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5427158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over49c712.15$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.21,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over51c666.67$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.6720851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Over51c643.14$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.147455.4%41 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Under48c610.75$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1672450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3008547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa499…7873backed Over53c567$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.494955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.041,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24572647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over30c456.4$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.563,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Under48c452.08$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21743453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…0628backed Over51c423$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20033743.6%147 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20010349.5%51 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over50c399$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.519434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over51c396.08$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0847856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e79…ff8bbacked Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1617456.9%99 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e13…732fbacked Over52c385$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.86648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e2d…74ccbacked Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.375356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c325$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.53,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c309$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.326,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd7…2003backed Over51c302$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55c4…0121backed Under51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503271.9%23 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over49c286$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.862,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebac…be55backed Over53c274.05$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0612153.7%65 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ead…16d3backed Over52c269.23$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.234353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e5…c531backed Over51c259$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32f3…423ebacked Over55c240$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc3…e92ebacked Under45c240$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over53c240$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.236854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed Over53c240$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.28030%24 W · 56 L-11.0wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8148…5f30backed Under51c237$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.87812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick52cpaid-76%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd9c1…3ff6backed Under51c222$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd30…4163backed Over51c215.1$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c214.73$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3360346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6872…1f92backed Over52c211.54$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.54955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5be…b7cebacked Over51c211$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6989…1f35backed Under51c209$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c8d…ce8fbacked Under51c201$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10020143.3%87 W · 114 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1370153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over52c198.33$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3326150.2%131 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c3…1b52backed Over51c196.15$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.151553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x536b…8134backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Over52c193.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1284957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Over52c192.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3430348.2%146 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…6921backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313627.8%10 W · 26 L-7.6wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-49.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6824556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3294…beccbacked Over51c187$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.632100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d45…1ba7backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1911264.3%72 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e7…4763backed Over54c183.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.331553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f27…6ea7backed Over52c180$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8714145.4%64 W · 77 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf318…317fbacked Over51c171$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.79650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15b1…34d2backed Under51c170$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over52c169$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.121,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4137…26d8backed Under51c165$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa341…fc86backed Under51c163$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.13450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b3…67cdbacked Under51c156.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3543…c63fbacked Over77c150$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.66544.6%29 W · 36 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3599…7785backed Under51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-58.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96fd…7c1bbacked Over51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under48c149.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7237750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5dd…b094backed Over51c145$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0533950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f9…adc0backed Under51c140$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under50c136$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810143.6%44 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebcc…705bbacked Over51c132$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2204…84cebacked Under51c131$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c4b…94c0backed Under51c125$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.75616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-66%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb56b…8e16backed Over51c124$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.837848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c5…9940backed Over51c118$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x405f…45cebacked Over52c115.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.252250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e28…3e73backed Over53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.219158.2%53 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed7…52e6backed Under51c113$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.