NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa435a13903bc9c8483a1a32de90b4878f85857a887ead28b41fb1d84cb446054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Clippers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,517,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,634,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,517,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Clippers | 33c | 83,977$27,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,455.27 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Magic | 68c | 80,310$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,310.82 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Clippers | 33c | 63,000$20,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,790 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Clippers | 32c | 52,650$16,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,840.3 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 68c | 46,401$31,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,919.57 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 12c | 41,855$5,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,207.6 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Magic | 67c | 35,960$24,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,797.2 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Clippers | 30c | 35,513$10,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,571.4 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Clippers | 0c | 31,357$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Clippers | 31c | 30,217$9,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,369.5 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Clippers | 33c | 27,258$8,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,995 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Magic | 68c | 25,000$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,999.99 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Clippers | 32c | 23,797$7,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,614.88 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Clippers | 15c | 22,853$3,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.33 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Magic | 68c | 21,823$14,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,939.99 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Clippers | 32c | 20,373$6,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,619.26 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Clippers | 32c | 20,063$6,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,420.08 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Magic | 69c | 20,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Clippers | 0c | 16,252$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…b87cbacked Magic | 68c | 16,098$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,097.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clippers | 32c | 15,784$5,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050.97 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…32aabacked Magic | 69c | 14,807$10,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Magic | 68c | 14,706$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.88 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Clippers | 31c | 13,376$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,209.81 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Clippers | 33c | 12,782$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200.24 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…82a3backed Magic | 67c | 12,500$8,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,124.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 32c | 11,819$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd6…918ebacked Clippers | 0c | 11,333$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb900…fe44backed Clippers | 33c | 11,000$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Magic | 69c | 10,800$7,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…af84backed Magic | 68c | 10,660$7,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…1ae5backed Clippers | 32c | 10,653$3,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 67c | 10,391$6,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.16 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Clippers | 0c | 10,142$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Clippers | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Magic | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.94 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…a6e1backed Magic | 77c | 9,813$7,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.35 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…5792backed Magic | 68c | 9,810$6,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…1b59backed Clippers | 32c | 9,800$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 67c | 8,960$6,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.21 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Clippers | 29c | 8,746$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.06 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Magic | 68c | 8,537$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.74 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…68b3backed Magic | 68c | 8,537$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…0bfabacked Magic | 68c | 8,537$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cd…bbecbacked Magic | 68c | 8,537$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…0812backed Magic | 68c | 8,537$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Clippers | 32c | 8,529$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.66 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…f18dbacked Magic | 69c | 8,419$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…1773backed Magic | 69c | 8,413$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Clippers | 32c | 8,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b51…edf0backed Clippers | 32c | 8,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Magic | 67c | 8,000$5,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 11c | 7,823$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Clippers | 11c | 7,500$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.62 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Clippers | 32c | 7,355$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.81 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Clippers | 32c | 7,319$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.93 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Clippers | 32c | 7,250$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Clippers | 0c | 7,067$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Magic | 67c | 6,873$4,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.17 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Clippers | 16c | 6,809$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.93 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fab…e336backed Clippers | 27c | 6,097$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Clippers | 33c | 6,061$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Clippers | 32c | 5,063$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.86 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Clippers | 26c | 5,040$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.85 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Clippers | 31c | 5,010$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.1 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…991bbacked Clippers | 18c | 5,000$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Clippers | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Clippers | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Magic | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Magic | 68c | 4,412$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.76 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…2006backed Magic | 69c | 4,323$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.37 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Magic | 68c | 4,057$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.8 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…fb60backed Magic | 76c | 4,049$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.51 | 53 | 79.2%42 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Clippers | 32c | 4,026$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.36 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Clippers | 0c | 3,850$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Clippers | 15c | 3,673$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.64 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Clippers | 32c | 3,660$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.22 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Clippers | 32c | 3,556$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.67 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Clippers | 32c | 3,500$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.98 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Clippers | 32c | 3,428$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.38 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Magic | 76c | 3,019$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.53 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Clippers | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Magic | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Clippers | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Magic | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Clippers | 32c | 3,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.98 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…e262backed Magic | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Magic | 70c | 2,782$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.02 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…5dffbacked Clippers | 33c | 2,727$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Magic | 68c | 2,567$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.56 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Magic | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Magic | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Magic | 68c | 2,499$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.99 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers | 31c | 2,339$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.12 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd8…6203backed Clippers | 18c | 2,300$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Clippers | 33c | 2,273$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Magic | 69c | 2,174$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.91 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Clippers | 33c | 2,121$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Clippers | 5c | 2,071$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.55 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Clippers | 33c | 2,032$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.69 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Clippers vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Clippers vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Magic: O/U 219.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.