NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1dfd3ea0b6be6d1e7a45a51a9409f83c4201e5d88d0fd716ccaf837151df59a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 10,184$5,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,412.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…0de8backed Over | 47c | 6,280$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,328.65 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 46c | 3,333$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.82 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Under | 1c | 1,560$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Over | 47c | 948.94$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.94 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…c925backed Under | 55c | 495.69$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 53c | 430.33$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.75 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Over | 48c | 413$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.76 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 382.42$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.86 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 262$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.53 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 13c | 229$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7d…6020backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac0…a220backed Over | 47c | 134$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf985…b227backed Under | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…37b4backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20a…2de4backed Under | 57c | 91.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…3886backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…79f9backed Over | 48c | 90.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…60a4backed Over | 47c | 90.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…7e6bbacked Over | 47c | 76.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 53c | 71.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…5962backed Over | 42c | 69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 56c | 68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2e…94d7backed Over | 48c | 61.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Under | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7622…8f80backed Under | 55c | 49.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 54c | 45.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Over | 44c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed Under | 56c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Under | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Magic: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Clippers vs. MagicMagic won
- Clippers vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Clippers vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Magic: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.