NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdda872fc295f210f8bc0b520c01b46c610fe6d74d42b301fd34fd48748edef6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $419,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $427,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Magic | 54c | 340,372$184,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155,717.58 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Clippers | 46c | 170,000$77,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,700 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 46c | 55,249$25,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,227.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clippers | 46c | 52,939$24,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,126.84 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers | 47c | 26,830$12,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,523.5 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers | 47c | 17,151$7,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.35 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Clippers | 45c | 15,555$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.75 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…c9fabacked Magic | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…6253backed Clippers | 50c | 9,600$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clippers | 45c | 7,149$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.29 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Magic | 52c | 5,651$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.09 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Clippers | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Magic | 52c | 4,228$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.88 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Clippers | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Clippers | 50c | 3,002$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.46 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Clippers | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Clippers | 46c | 2,600$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Clippers | 51c | 2,528$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.11 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Clippers | 49c | 2,418$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.92 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Magic | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 47c | 1,956$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.68 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Magic | 55c | 1,926$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.55 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Clippers | 44c | 1,834$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.93 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…51ebbacked Magic | 56c | 1,779$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Clippers | 46c | 1,574$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.96 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Clippers | 26c | 1,556$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.8 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 51c | 1,114$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.07 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Magic | 50c | 1,110$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.71 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Magic | 51c | 1,067$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.03 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 45c | 1,020$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Clippers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Clippers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Clippers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Magic | 52c | 784.6$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.61 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…059ebacked Magic | 56c | 780.36$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.36 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Clippers | 48c | 736.15$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.35 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 46c | 714.31$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddf…b93abacked Clippers | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9408…ae72backed Magic | 54c | 699$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Clippers | 49c | 668.59$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.61 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Magic | 50c | 599.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.92 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Magic | 56c | 555$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Magic | 52c | 536.15$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.35 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Magic | 51c | 527$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.23 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Magic | 53c | 515.62$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.34 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Magic | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…a108backed Clippers | 51c | 494.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Clippers | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…0a52backed Clippers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Clippers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Clippers | 48c | 333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Clippers | 49c | 307.82$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.83 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Magic | 49c | 300$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c4…0121backed Magic | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Magic | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Clippers | 49c | 278$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.22 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Clippers | 46c | 213.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Magic | 53c | 213.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Clippers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Magic | 55c | 200.45$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a83…09f0backed Magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Clippers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…aed1backed Magic | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Clippers | 48c | 197.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed Clippers | 49c | 189.8$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…2d7cbacked Clippers | 51c | 185$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…3d07backed Magic | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 69cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31bb…0c47backed Clippers | 51c | 178$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f9…755ebacked Magic | 50c | 175$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e6…579fbacked Magic | 49c | 171$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…aa96backed Clippers | 26c | 169.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Clippers | 50c | 166.92$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…025dbacked Magic | 50c | 157$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Clippers | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Magic | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…9780backed Magic | 51c | 146$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a22…3a7cbacked Clippers | 51c | 129$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Clippers | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Magic | 51c | 121.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…d42cbacked Magic | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…0eeabacked Clippers | 50c | 109.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Magic | 70c | 100.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Magic | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Clippers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Clippers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…eaefbacked Clippers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Clippers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Clippers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Clippers | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Clippers | 49c | 99.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Magic | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…8639backed Magic | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Clippers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Clippers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 48c | 95.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Magic | 51c | 94.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Magic | 51c | 94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…8764backed Clippers | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Magic | 51c | 89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Clippers vs. MagicMagic won
- Clippers vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Clippers vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Magic: O/U 219.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.