TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa088…3d07

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1593.3%14 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick69cpaid+40.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$166.67
Timberwolves vs. Wizardsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$282.05
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+34.2%+$820.89
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.1%+$403.71
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$77.78
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+39.7%+$555.97
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.96
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$964Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+33.5%+$322.64
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+45.3%+$151.91
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+84.2%+$345.15
Hawks vs. Sunsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+124.4%+$161.71
All 15 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$145
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$2,876.29
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+124.5%+$1,842.47
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+36.2%+$543.11
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+94.5%+$1,046.78
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,634Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$4,633.91
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,588Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+30.5%+$790.49
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+111.1%+$444.37
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,759Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+46.7%+$821.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-3.1wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25%+$50
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+46.6%+$46.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$122
Spread: Central Michigan (-9.5)backed Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$563.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+419.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+419.3%+$209.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Henry Bernetbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+143.9%+$143.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.9%+$259.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.