NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9394970668d3b02407a287d4ef8e32d35d099551ec22205608d2ad1364cf201a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Utah, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,611,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,850,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,611,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 546 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Utah | 54c | 268,304$144,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144,883.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Ducks | 50c | 227,338$113,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,873.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Utah | 49c | 169,983$82,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,893.01 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Utah | 53c | 116,091$62,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,017.6 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 47c | 107,513$50,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,060.94 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Ducks | 48c | 103,678$49,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,942.2 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Ducks | 49c | 81,985$39,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,094.18 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Utah | 50c | 53,906$26,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,959.81 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Utah | 53c | 46,750$24,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,585.12 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Utah | 50c | 38,649$19,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,324.72 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Utah | 51c | 32,001$16,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,320.62 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,300 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Ducks | 47c | 30,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,799.92 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ducks | 46c | 27,109$12,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,638.67 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 48c | 25,758$12,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,381.62 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Ducks | 46c | 25,283$11,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,652.71 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Ducks | 46c | 24,073$11,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,940.82 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Ducks | 49c | 21,063$10,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,684.59 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Ducks | 47c | 20,564$9,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,899.13 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Utah | 52c | 20,272$10,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,524.11 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Ducks | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.97 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Ducks | 46c | 19,200$8,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,368 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…c010backed Utah | 1c | 18,702$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Ducks | 53c | 17,127$9,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,098.82 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks | 46c | 16,643$7,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,925.34 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Ducks | 56c | 15,209$8,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,693.24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Ducks | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 47c | 14,000$6,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,470 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Utah | 51c | 10,197$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.47 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Ducks | 46c | 9,231$4,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,974.23 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Utah | 55c | 9,110$4,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,982 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Utah | 52c | 8,995$4,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.39 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ducks | 53c | 8,585$4,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.31 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Utah | 44c | 8,548$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.58 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Utah | 47c | 8,275$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.95 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Utah | 50c | 7,177$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.18 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Utah | 56c | 6,757$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.9 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Ducks | 46c | 6,403$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.66 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah | 59c | 5,530$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.6 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Utah | 51c | 5,400$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.97 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…07a4backed Ducks | 49c | 5,306$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks | 55c | 5,257$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.01 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…7975backed Utah | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Ducks | 73c | 4,712$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ducks | 52c | 4,544$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.02 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Ducks | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Ducks | 48c | 4,060$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.96 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Ducks | 49c | 4,014$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.73 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Utah | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Ducks | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Utah | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Utah | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Ducks | 47c | 4,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.99 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Ducks | 47c | 3,777$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.81 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Utah | 51c | 3,266$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.72 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Ducks | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed Utah | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…252fbacked Ducks | 48c | 2,850$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Utah | 52c | 2,530$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.6 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Ducks | 49c | 2,500$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.11 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Utah | 41c | 2,486$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.23 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Ducks | 52c | 2,478$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.81 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Utah | 54c | 2,192$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.34 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Ducks | 48c | 2,146$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.96 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Utah | 51c | 2,000$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.12 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…6a63backed Ducks | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Utah | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.97 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ducks | 63c | 1,970$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.01 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Utah | 53c | 1,948$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.36 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ducks | 47c | 1,812$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.43 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Utah | 53c | 1,807$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.79 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Utah | 53c | 1,746$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.98 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Utah | 50c | 1,735$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.52 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ducks | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.2 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Ducks | 47c | 1,577$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.93 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Ducks | 31c | 1,540$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.69 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Ducks | 70c | 1,511$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Utah | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Ducks | 46c | 1,500$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Ducks | 46c | 1,500$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.49 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Ducks | 67c | 1,424$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.23 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Ducks | 47c | 1,366$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.61 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Ducks | 47c | 1,315$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.45 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Ducks | 29c | 1,308$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.21 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Utah | 24c | 1,300$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.66 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Ducks | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…3d07backed Ducks | 51c | 1,218$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Ducks | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.5 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Ducks | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Ducks | 58c | 1,149$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.23 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Ducks | 48c | 1,125$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.18 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 35c | 1,102$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.13 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Utah | 47c | 1,095$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.02 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c4…631fbacked Ducks | 49c | 1,031$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Utah | 53c | 1,029$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.14 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…1f75backed Ducks | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…8447backed Utah | 52c | 1,019$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Ducks | 7c | 1,003$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.78 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…67e3backed Ducks | 61c | 1,000$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Ducks | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Ducksthis page
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Ducks won
- Utah vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.