NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb24911a30317e430026ef3a4474bd42ca927044d56e19f8b813febcc9fbcc20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd9…2d3fbacked Under | 52c | 23,849$12,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,447.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496a…db23backed Over | 48c | 23,786$11,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,417.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…af5fbacked Over | 48c | 23,639$11,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,346.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1c…2616backed Under | 52c | 23,571$12,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,314.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 49c | 8,807$4,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,315.37 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 5,551$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.96 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 2,187$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.12 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 52c | 1,002$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.36 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 43c | 912$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.76 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 49c | 362$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 49c | 229$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.79 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 50c | 191$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 51c | 123$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Over | 51c | 89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Over | 51c | 87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Over | 51c | 86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Over | 51c | 84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Under | 54c | 78.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 51c | 67.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Over | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Over | 49c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 51c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Over | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe683…9095backed Over | 40c | 53.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 49c | 51.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Over | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Over | 47c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Ducks won
- Utah vs. DucksDucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.