NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71c8a52cb54c60cb8feed3a3f0eba3b122ed16c010cf5a392cb7b04659496ae5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Hawks, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,860,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,876,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,860,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 841 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks | 36c | 361,299$131,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,628.17 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Raptors | 64c | 312,571$200,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,947.85 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x060e…2384backed Hawks | 39c | 238,828$92,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,001.12 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Raptors | 63c | 114,933$72,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,525.25 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Raptors | 61c | 60,000$36,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,333.45 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 61c | 50,437$30,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,555.35 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors | 60c | 44,335$26,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,733.97 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Raptors | 62c | 41,337$25,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,707.9 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Hawks | 31c | 41,013$12,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,913.29 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Hawks | 38c | 40,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,299.95 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 67c | 33,585$22,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,106.36 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Raptors | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,100 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hawks | 34c | 29,247$10,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,061.12 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Raptors | 62c | 27,954$17,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,622.63 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 61c | 27,653$16,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,696.42 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Hawks | 38c | 25,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 2c | 25,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Raptors | 62c | 24,993$15,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,497.45 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Hawks | 31c | 21,331$6,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,546.31 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Raptors | 62c | 20,315$12,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,719.7 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hawks | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Hawks | 37c | 20,000$7,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,459.94 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…003fbacked Hawks | 33c | 19,141$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Hawks | 30c | 17,917$5,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,437.09 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors | 73c | 17,283$12,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,711.94 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 70c | 15,386$10,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,686.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Raptors | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Hawks | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.99 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 61c | 14,928$9,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,873.37 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hawks | 14c | 14,777$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.33 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Hawks | 24c | 14,000$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.34 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Raptors | 62c | 13,945$8,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,298.95 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Raptors | 62c | 13,892$8,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,343.14 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks | 35c | 13,769$4,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,824.31 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Raptors | 74c | 13,558$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.84 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Raptors | 65c | 10,836$7,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,804.79 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Hawks | 38c | 10,005$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.9 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Raptors | 62c | 9,667$5,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,673.5 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Hawks | 0c | 9,500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Hawks | 37c | 8,888$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.56 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 62c | 8,835$5,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.73 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors | 68c | 8,308$5,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.69 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Hawks | 0c | 8,299$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Raptors | 63c | 8,234$5,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.75 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Hawks | 36c | 8,227$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.72 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Raptors | 62c | 8,067$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.61 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 38c | 8,050$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Raptors | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Hawks | 33c | 7,121$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.75 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Raptors | 64c | 7,025$4,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Raptors | 62c | 7,000$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Raptors | 61c | 6,675$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.51 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Hawks | 39c | 6,666$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.74 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Hawks | 38c | 6,303$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.21 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Hawks | 36c | 6,175$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.7 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Hawks | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeea…d5c1backed Raptors | 62c | 5,808$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hawks | 37c | 5,467$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.81 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 26c | 5,118$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Raptors | 62c | 5,051$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.83 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Hawks | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Raptors | 76c | 5,000$3,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Hawks | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Hawks | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hawks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Hawks | 37c | 4,620$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.97 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Hawks | 38c | 4,444$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Raptors | 74c | 4,251$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.43 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Hawks | 38c | 4,149$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.75 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Hawks | 7c | 4,030$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.1 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hawks | 26c | 4,000$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.71 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hawks | 37c | 3,995$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.92 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hawks | 41c | 3,994$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.45 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Raptors | 59c | 3,928$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.48 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Hawks | 38c | 3,898$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.07 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Hawks | 41c | 3,862$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.41 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…57bbbacked Hawks | 40c | 3,768$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.64 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Hawks | 38c | 3,698$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.1 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Hawks | 42c | 3,496$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.94 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Raptors | 71c | 3,334$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.76 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hawks | 35c | 3,158$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.78 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Hawks | 27c | 2,991$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.95 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Hawks | 41c | 2,908$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Hawks | 26c | 2,875$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.77 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Raptors | 70c | 2,802$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.67 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Raptors | 63c | 2,719$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.03 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 62c | 2,639$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.99 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Raptors | 61c | 2,632$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.6 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Raptors | 63c | 2,627$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.98 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Hawks | 16c | 2,545$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.3 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Raptors | 62c | 2,502$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…c549backed Raptors | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Raptors | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc127…66e9backed Hawks | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Hawks | 38c | 2,474$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.77 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Raptors | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.35 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Raptors | 77c | 2,352$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.51 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Raptors | 62c | 2,230$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.4 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Raptors | 60c | 2,221$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.86 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Raptors | 62c | 2,169$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.2 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Raptorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Raptors won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.