NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd02d0a8e5e1033e327d9ff23c213566adbdc806e96dead2f5959f4ac18e65dba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 53,418$26,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,777.43 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 50c | 30,000$15,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,099.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 30,000$15,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,149.98 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Over | 50c | 6,705$3,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,352.39 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 6,061$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 52c | 5,489$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.88 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 2,043$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.93 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Over | 50c | 1,320$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 1,009$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.52 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 43c | 878.72$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.25 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 49c | 801.07$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.55 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 55c | 664.92$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.22 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 600.51$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 49c | 594$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.94 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Under | 2c | 525$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 52c | 298.08$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.08 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 50c | 288$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 66c | 269.78$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 50c | 224$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 50c | 208$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 40c | 200.39$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 50c | 192$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 50c | 192$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 56c | 192$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 50c | 192$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 50c | 144$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 50c | 144$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 42c | 116$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Over | 61c | 100.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 50c | 96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 94.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 34c | 67.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Over | 50c | 62.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4546…c148backed Over | 50c | 47.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Over | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 55c | 29.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Over | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 50c | 23.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Over | 73c | 19.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Over | 57c | 18.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Raptors won
- Hawks vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.