NBA · resolved market

Spread: Raptors (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf185ee518deabe5080c41ef57ead2756902be8c92a99da72dc34719ad66b4deb

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Raptorsof Raptors, Hawks
Resolved: Jan 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $488,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $493,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,936 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Raptors	53c	428,869$226,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202,196.85	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Hawks	47c	301,660$142,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142,378.2	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hawks	47c	94,539$44,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,433.45	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks	48c	19,957$9,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,554.17	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0330…850bbacked Hawks	49c	10,892$5,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,337	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,700	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors	51c	9,000$4,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,410	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors	51c	6,522$3,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,190.64	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks	49c	3,127$1,524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,524.42	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Raptors	51c	2,940$1,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,440.44	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Raptors	50c	2,500$1,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,240	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Raptors	51c	2,053$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,003.2	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd56d…bd7dbacked Hawks	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Hawks	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	193	51.8%100 W · 93 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Hawks	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.99	132	60.6%80 W · 52 L	+14.0wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Hawks	54c	1,961$1,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058.98	310	44.8%139 W · 171 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks	47c	1,929$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$911.37	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9acb…d2c7backed Raptors	52c	1,805$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$875.43	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-23%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks	47c	1,276$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.72	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Hawks	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Hawks	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Raptors	54c	740.74$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.74	101	38.6%39 W · 62 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Hawks	47c	723.03$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.82	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Hawks	49c	714.29$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	625	46.9%293 W · 332 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Hawks	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	96	59.4%57 W · 39 L	+8.6wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Hawks	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Raptors	52c	480.77$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.77	462	58.2%269 W · 193 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Hawks	49c	302.77$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.28	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Raptors	59c	300$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Hawks	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Raptors	51c	300$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hawks	51c	299$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.49	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Hawks	48c	291.67$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	250	58.4%146 W · 104 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Hawks	49c	288.01$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	624	50%312 W · 312 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1375…4c69backed Hawks	49c	255.1$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-9.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Raptors	51c	245.1$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.1	229	53.7%123 W · 106 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Raptors	54c	231.48$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.48	409	52.1%213 W · 196 L	+16.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Hawks	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	631	42%265 W · 366 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Raptors	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	186	56.5%105 W · 81 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors	53c	193.62$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.24	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Raptors	68c	187.6$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.44	271	61.3%166 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Hawks	49c	153.06$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	218	38.1%83 W · 135 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed Hawks	49c	149.75$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	211	64.5%136 W · 75 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Hawks	47c	149.1$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.87	397	56.7%225 W · 172 L	+21.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Hawks	48c	145.6$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.89	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Hawks	48c	144$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.82	378	50.3%190 W · 188 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e96…e9f8backed Raptors	50c	139.22$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.22	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Raptors	52c	136.36$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.45	110	60%66 W · 44 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Hawks	67c	119.89$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0110…3b75backed Raptors	52c	118.65$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.95	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Hawks	49c	108.27$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-6.5wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hawks	50c	107.43$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.68	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Hawks	48c	102$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.75	1,109	41.8%464 W · 645 L	-20.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hawks	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Hawks	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	263	39.5%104 W · 159 L	-13.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks	43c	92.8$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Raptors	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	311	51.1%159 W · 152 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Hawks	47c	89.38$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.01	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Raptors	50c	82.39$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x676a…3ef4backed Raptors	53c	81.31$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.97	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.5wins	-0.27per pick	50cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Hawks	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	153	55.6%85 W · 68 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a4…57c0backed Raptors	53c	74.86$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.26	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b0…07bfbacked Raptors	60c	71.74$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.64	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Hawks	48c	67.21$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.26	175	27.4%48 W · 127 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b8…3c28backed Hawks	47c	63.53$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	169	44.4%75 W · 94 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Hawks	49c	61.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Hawks	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdffc…17f1backed Raptors	50c	59.1$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.55	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Raptors	64c	58.74$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.24	383	47%180 W · 203 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x394a…536ebacked Raptors	53c	54.89$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.9	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-39%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56d2…7afcbacked Raptors	54c	53.26$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+6.8wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x49c4…3f14backed Raptors	59c	52.79$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.56	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Raptors	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	1,053	53.5%563 W · 490 L	-15.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Hawks	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	879	50.6%445 W · 434 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bef…b7c2backed Hawks	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd32…8580backed Hawks	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.94	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe81…d081backed Hawks	46c	45.65$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4546…c148backed Hawks	49c	42.34$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.65	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6eac…505cbacked Hawks	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.6wins	-0.33per pick	58cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Hawks	49c	41.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	288	56.9%164 W · 124 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Raptors	56c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.6	481	46.2%222 W · 259 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Hawks	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	564	54.3%306 W · 258 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Raptors	52c	32$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.36	421	43.7%184 W · 237 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Raptors	51c	30.94$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.16	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Raptors	51c	30.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.86	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Raptors	51c	29.48$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.45	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Raptors	68c	29.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks	46c	28$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.85	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f20…eaf6backed Hawks	64c	23.44$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee21…3721backed Raptors	47c	23.1$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.28	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Hawks	47c	21.41$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	127	27.6%35 W · 92 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dc9…cba2backed Raptors	53c	21.21$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.93	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Raptors	54c	20.74$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.54	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Raptors	54c	20.74$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.54	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Raptors	59c	20.23$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.28	306	16.7%51 W · 255 L	-36.5wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Raptors (-4.5)this page
1H Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Raptors won
Hawks vs. RaptorsRaptors won
Hawks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
Hawks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
Hawks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Over won
Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Over won
Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Over won
Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5Over won
Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5Over won
Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5Over won
Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5Over won
Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5Over won
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Raptors (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event