TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x676a…3ef4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-60.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.58
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.73
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+87.6%+$37.97
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$28.49
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$40.99
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$242.73
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$481.72
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+50.8%+$75.46
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+71.6%+$102.75
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$58.12
Grizzlies vs. Wizardsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$99.72
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$207.46
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$88.65
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+66.1%+$143.36
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$16.09
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+194.1%+$47.79
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USC vs. TCUbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$94.73
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian Statebacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+31.6%+$57.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+46.5%+$6.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.