TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$372,175
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$371,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,175 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Yes54c236,946$128,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128,976.821369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+38.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No46c54,694$25,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,534.9762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No45c50,000$22,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,5004052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c28,531$13,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,687.921,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No46c22,300$10,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,041.782040%8 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No46c21,442$9,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,556.94955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+82%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No46c17,617$8,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,514.1913348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No45c11,016$4,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,058.94475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+71.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5006454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No45c8,355$3,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,563.9135650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No45c7,014$3,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,857.8323151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No45c6,235$2,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,429.258447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes58c5,802$3,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,339.05580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+60.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No46c5,698$2,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,076.922250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No78c5,191$4,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.521,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes53c4,717$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5006349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No45c4,035$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.546648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Yes20c3,766$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.61216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes57c3,761$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,143.8524044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b71…a995backed No45c3,648$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b5f…4664backed Yes55c3,638$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes57c3,039$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.2314337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62014654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No45c2,826$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.312147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0252…38d7backed Yes5c2,727$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed No43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed No46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes56c2,500$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Yes50c2,456$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed No49c2,197$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No47c2,000$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0652347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1006060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No44c1,818$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.185757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes56c1,739$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.849355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No46c1,671$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.4511355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes53c1,387$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.753729.7%11 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-42.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No44c1,262$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.5326040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No52c1,060$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.0433938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes52c1,012$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.39858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc277…9d94backed No45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Yes52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No47c973.17$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.6731049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff0…0178backed No45c900$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…bac1backed Yes56c865$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No45c849.39$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.717252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06e2…787cbacked Yes56c835$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb56b…068ebacked No45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4406756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked No45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.672634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.671233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No43c616.12$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.194131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes12c580.25$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.719535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No45c564.06$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes56c526.79$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2956119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Yes57c501.05$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Yes57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2652040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No45c499.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No45c405$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.753951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22023260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No47c399.99$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b34…294cbacked Yes55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes16c360.36$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9735037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4752…2a91backed Yes56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x676a…3ef4backed Yes56c343.64$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed No45c333$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes56c331$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3617043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No44c303.17$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.77887.5%7 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.53per pick34cpaid+178.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16517756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1658263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16513655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No56c295.48$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.1571140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes55c281.56$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8617329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes56c281$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3622927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes54c275.58$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3226845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No49c260.82$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.821376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+51.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No44c250.72$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No45c248.83$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8614045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No45c240$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1327163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No45c240$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13211556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes53c235.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.226648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes56c222$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.322334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40100%0 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3909…335fbacked No48c209$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes52c200.1$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045366%35 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes19c200$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1108653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11010948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11010952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes33c183$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.632343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9911256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x064a…245dbacked Yes56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.