TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,963 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No35c13,770$4,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,868.421,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No50c8,271$4,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,135.284940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes22c3,500$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,729.98955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+82%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c3,163$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.841,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes20c2,222$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.1724044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No41c2,064$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.8933938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes21c2,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5806648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes46c1,984$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.21580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+60.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No2c1,675$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes40c1,585$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.153129%9 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes20c1,440$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.1714337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No46c1,324$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.3371140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No53c1,246$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.3337638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes48c1,025$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.981353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes21c994$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+50.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Yes46c737.57$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.291275%9 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No2c720$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1260%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2882737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3064431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed No80c586$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.89355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.747252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed No3c486.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.941225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9360…f051backed Yes51c470.59$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.59887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+75%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes47c423.96$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.7520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Yes50c386$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes19c315.79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.79850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+66.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No49c311$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.422250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No53c307$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6226040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No78c300$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23431049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No30c295.88$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.039535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes52c287.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.92483.3%20 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+54.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes20c249.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.992536%9 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0110…3b75backed Yes20c245.5$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes18c228.43$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3112050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42bf…30f7backed Yes24c216.67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.67560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+77.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No36c215.91$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5812343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd38b…e07abacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df8…3ee8backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Yes52c198.73$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.392853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c157$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2a…2f37backed Yes49c146.94$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed No80c125.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.021485.7%12 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a52…45e7backed No80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick65cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes46c121.74$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.741145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes34c116.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.467735.1%27 W · 50 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa041…04d2backed Yes52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.38966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+39.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes51c101.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.961735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72e…b33dbacked Yes50c100.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes51c97.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.751250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes21c97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.639156%51 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.153253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.318360.7%111 W · 72 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes45c86.41$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.531338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…4432backed Yes20c70$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.312263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No77c63.78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1123153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked No80c63.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ca7…8410backed Yes24c60.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+173.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes22c59.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.565529.1%16 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…722fbacked Yes23c59.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes20c59.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.232343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No35c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.142937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x263e…2976backed Yes24c52.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No76c52.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.652365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817f…b97cbacked Yes24c52.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.65850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ac…e7d7backed Yes48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.08785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+48%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.55747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb456…1774backed Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40238.7%2 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-70.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No79c49.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6920454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Yes51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.022065%13 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…6834backed Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0504…8f32backed Yes24c43.46$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.031030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe5d…a99dbacked Yes47c41.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb2…3db8backed Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked No78c39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.42520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.467945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Yes50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes51c31.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.617044.3%31 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a23…932abacked Yes47c23.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c65…845dbacked No56c23.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed No55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked Yes51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed No63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6f…06bdbacked No53c19.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…0708backed No78c18.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…d643backed No78c18.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76a9…4919backed No78c18.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.49944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.