Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x460ffbc000531171df0a109d4a4b870555feeadaef6848b34a0d6ff2603af975
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 64c | 5,395$3,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.76 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 1,826$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.97 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 36c | 1,225$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.83 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 64c | 1,050$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 38c | 947.37$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 732.56$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.27 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…997cbacked Yes | 16c | 731.81$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 75c | 679$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.75 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 75c | 553.88$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.47 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 504.92$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.28 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 6c | 408.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 70c | 358.6$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.85 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 35c | 273.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 240.41$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Yes | 25c | 186.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…f350backed Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 24c | 143$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 75c | 141$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked Yes | 25c | 128$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 25c | 126$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Yes | 34c | 125$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 24c | 105.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…0677backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 34c | 72.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 77c | 59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7755…25ccbacked Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 52.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…a77bbacked No | 77c | 52.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…cc7bbacked No | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…763bbacked Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 28c | 50.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Yes | 25c | 48.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…089fbacked Yes | 25c | 45.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked No | 76c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 62c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed No | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x554f…afb4backed No | 63c | 27.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 27.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 57 | 78.9%45 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed No | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 66c | 24.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?this page
- Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-03?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.