TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x548c…763b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT4436.4%16 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+316.7%+$47.5
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$33.5
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+525%+$52.5
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Clippers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+244.8%+$44.07
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+455.6%+$50.11
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+170.3%+$24.69
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+194.1%+$33
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.5
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$16.25
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$76
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST2065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$175.68
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+257.1%+$36
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Islanders vs. Oilersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+63.9%+$14.7
Canucks vs. Sabresbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$28.11
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$31.06
Blackhawks vs. Utahbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+59.1%+$28.37
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+132.6%+$45.07
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+66.7%+$30
Ducks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.77
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+61.3%+$11.03
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
All 20 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+57.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+160.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$40.86
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+203%+$33.5
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+354.5%+$47.86
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+148.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$16.57
Dodgers vs. Raysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$12.65
Blue Jays vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panathinaikos vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+203%+$24.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.