TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,158 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x91c8…6675backed Jets52c10,039$5,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,220.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac71…0b9abacked Kings48c10,039$4,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,220.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings50c3,964$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.7886649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Jets50c3,864$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.7211145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Kings46c3,178$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.9731849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8729…9a8dbacked Kings77c2,464$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.21471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Kings76c1,579$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.977755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Jets57c1,406$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8009747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings48c1,375$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.021,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kings51c1,256$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.9719438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jets24c1,030$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.21,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Jets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Jets52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52013361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jets51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.5885148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Kings50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003650%18 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Jets47c781.21$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.3314949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Jets41c699.98$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.212839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Jets51c685.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.8529847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Jets54c665.81$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.5412955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Kings80c650.59$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.128720.7%18 W · 69 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Jets24c611.69$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.816465.6%42 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Jets49c577.35$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28524945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Jets51c514.51$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2646437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x967f…3750backed Kings46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.51837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x390f…9ef2backed Jets54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Jets52c426.84$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.969153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Jets54c425.93$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23013457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Jets52c421.42$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.1419150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Jets50c298.04$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.54951%25 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7684…4d2dbacked Jets27c297.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.461258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7524…2149backed Jets27c285.26$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.024245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Kings47c263.68$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4831334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Jets54c259.26$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14012859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Kings50c254.43$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2220540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0b…f974backed Kings78c224.46$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.381758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fb…c8dbbacked Kings48c222.92$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1911…31d2backed Jets53c222.83$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c88…0ad0backed Kings48c221.77$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a71…7a96backed Jets53c221.7$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffe3…2ab5backed Kings48c220.81$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x358f…aa2cbacked Jets53c220.66$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5184…03c8backed Jets53c218.87$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74e…7c00backed Jets53c216.96$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61d…c5f4backed Kings48c216.94$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f9d…06b4backed Jets53c215.47$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30bb…b274backed Kings48c215.46$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0de0…bc42backed Kings49c215.36$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e33…bd10backed Jets53c215.09$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6041…5ff4backed Jets53c215.09$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x435b…9611backed Kings48c214.63$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.61977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+50.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5528…f65dbacked Kings48c214.63$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d82…0bd4backed Jets53c213.58$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad76…96c9backed Kings48c213.58$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+70.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf844…41e4backed Jets54c213.33$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x030c…9b49backed Kings48c213.22$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.22785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+70.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2642…cb8bbacked Kings49c211.6$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…ac69backed Jets54c211.14$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5069…940cbacked Kings49c210.2$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f5…3d79backed Kings49c210.2$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c4c…37acbacked Jets53c210.19$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0863…b072backed Jets54c210.19$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad56…231ebacked Jets54c206.13$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc08f…14fbbacked Kings49c206.12$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f4c…081fbacked Kings49c206.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa30f…7245backed Jets54c206.07$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Kings49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Jets51c201.62$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.164452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Kings48c201.16$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7848654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Jets52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…3b85backed Kings58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Jets51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Jets54c199.95$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9713953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kings48c194.43$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1772444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe980…75e1backed Jets53c183.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.511540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings39c173.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Jets54c162.96$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8815456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Kings61c162.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6619852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b50…aaeabacked Kings51c157.22$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5f8…a0a0backed Jets51c155.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…717dbacked Kings76c155.27$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+55.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ff…032abacked Kings51c146.84$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bc2…3c8dbacked Jets51c138.73$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.01450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bcc…5ef7backed Jets50c130.9$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.45540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x981a…112bbacked Jets50c130.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.28757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings50c127.04$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfac8…7a9ebacked Kings80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbeb8…3667backed Jets52c119.92$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jets49c118.97$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2979251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Jets49c118.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2741851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49e0…676fbacked Kings51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.651747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x548c…763bbacked Jets52c117.31$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3065…8880backed Kings51c112.84$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3260…c4fbbacked Kings51c112.82$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Jets51c107.82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9938040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings48c106.56$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa0…7768backed Kings51c103.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.59580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+78%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a2b…4007backed Jets51c102.41$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcc5…e6c3backed Kings52c101.9$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Kings51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4972448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.