NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb781a7b17577bb76f5f4f84e0c95c7c9b4e78154c9af1b544d55c39f00f02ce3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Ducks, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Ducks | 3c | 2,600$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 1c | 2,100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ducks | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Flyers | 64c | 967.89$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.44 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Ducks | 24c | 889.73$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.54 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers | 76c | 525.18$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.04 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flyers | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.06 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Flyers | 64c | 449.17$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…9a8dbacked Flyers | 78c | 441.84$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…a0f0backed Flyers | 64c | 319.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…dcdcbacked Ducks | 36c | 319.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Flyers | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225c…863ebacked Flyers | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8906…b442backed Ducks | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 64c | 280.82$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Ducks | 33c | 220.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…d3eabacked Ducks | 36c | 219.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Ducks | 35c | 201.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Ducks | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Ducks | 36c | 180.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Ducks | 34c | 175.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Ducks | 39c | 164.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Flyers | 65c | 153.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Ducks | 35c | 149.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Flyers | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks | 9c | 127.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flyers | 64c | 121.76$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…f177backed Ducks | 35c | 114.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c8…8fbabacked Ducks | 35c | 108.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Flyers | 66c | 100.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…a2f7backed Ducks | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers | 65c | 95.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…3051backed Ducks | 17c | 89.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0022…66dabacked Ducks | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…2f6cbacked Ducks | 35c | 79.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…9e02backed Flyers | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f7…2b93backed Flyers | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x105e…4741backed Ducks | 42c | 73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Ducks | 36c | 73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c79…8268backed Flyers | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf169…7e97backed Flyers | 64c | 68.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13e…2f48backed Flyers | 65c | 65.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks | 35c | 65.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb544…7fdcbacked Flyers | 65c | 64.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…259bbacked Flyers | 65c | 63.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Ducks | 36c | 61.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…be8cbacked Ducks | 36c | 57.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Flyers | 61c | 50.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…763bbacked Flyers | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…7bd1backed Ducks | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Ducks | 34c | 48.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88e0…9472backed Flyers | 66c | 48.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…be9bbacked Ducks | 36c | 48.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Flyers | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc88c…d510backed Ducks | 37c | 43.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…9d5cbacked Flyers | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd57…c7e2backed Ducks | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Flyers | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff3…da2ebacked Flyers | 61c | 37.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0092…9425backed Ducks | 36c | 36.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fc…8f34backed Flyers | 64c | 36.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…fd65backed Flyers | 65c | 36.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…ddcabacked Ducks | 39c | 36.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…b2e1backed Ducks | 36c | 35.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ada…e12cbacked Flyers | 64c | 35.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…3787backed Flyers | 64c | 34.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…ec50backed Ducks | 37c | 34.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd8…04d7backed Flyers | 63c | 34.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd232…188ebacked Ducks | 35c | 34.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…3506backed Flyers | 65c | 34.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…293abacked Ducks | 35c | 34.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d1…2d47backed Flyers | 64c | 33.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88c…74c6backed Ducks | 38c | 32.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…0d53backed Flyers | 66c | 32.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fa…d056backed Ducks | 34c | 32.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad1…77d9backed Flyers | 64c | 31.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb5…2664backed Ducks | 35c | 31.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…68e9backed Flyers | 64c | 31.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6745…b5b8backed Flyers | 65c | 30.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1e…86cdbacked Ducks | 35c | 30.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f78…e30fbacked Flyers | 66c | 30.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad32…75a7backed Ducks | 36c | 30.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…731bbacked Ducks | 36c | 30.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Ducks | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed Flyers | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c69…b44cbacked Flyers | 63c | 29.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…9297backed Flyers | 66c | 29.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…7a39backed Flyers | 64c | 29.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x475b…ed1bbacked Flyers | 64c | 28.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…f140backed Flyers | 65c | 28.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…6363backed Flyers | 64c | 27.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f7…87b3backed Flyers | 65c | 26.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…ed95backed Flyers | 65c | 26.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…313cbacked Flyers | 65c | 25.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5247…67b9backed Flyers | 66c | 25.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Flyers | 65c | 25.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd1…7b59backed Flyers | 64c | 23.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…0cf4backed Flyers | 64c | 23.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec6…0b39backed Flyers | 65c | 22.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.