TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6fa…7bd1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$21.43
Cubs vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Mets vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$11.12
Mets vs. Redsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Nationals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Angels vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7.81
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.5
Guardians vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Athletics vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Braves vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Nationals vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$10.69
Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Nationals vs. Yankeesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
White Sox vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$14
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$12.66
Dodgers vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$32
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Tigers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+34.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$49.71
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$26
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+300%+$51
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+316.7%+$76
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+40.8%+$15.11
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+156.4%+$21.12
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
Hornets vs. Kingsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+31.6%+$19.89
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+29.9%+$15.53
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18.99
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Nets vs. Clippersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+69.5%+$19.46
Nets vs. Bucksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+669.2%+$113.77
Jazz vs. Knicksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2025, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-50.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Flyers vs. Senatorsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Blues vs. Starsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Panthers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Ducks vs. Flyersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Panthers vs. Avalanchebacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Devils vs. Kingsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$86
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$56
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$132.91
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Bengals vs. Commanders backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$13.78
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$20.5
All 5 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 2, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TCU vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Georgia Tech vs. Coloradobacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$12.63
Appalachian State vs. Charlottebacked Charlotte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
North Texas vs. Texas Statebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Boston College vs. Nebraskabacked Nebraska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+66.6%+$59.95
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sparks vs. Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Liberty vs. Valkyriesbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Sparks vs. Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Lynx vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$41.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Aug 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$17.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferencvaros win on 2025-08-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.