MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f950abb6cd8560ccbc5d2b5d2a0de2d6a4ab7ffdf55330e6f7152a4d50a8693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Braves, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $341,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 404 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5465…ca9bbacked Phillies | 65c | 137,589$89,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,407.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Braves | 36c | 52,500$18,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,674.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Braves | 35c | 31,892$11,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,162.34 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 35c | 28,962$10,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,130.87 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 66c | 23,919$15,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,125.72 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Braves | 35c | 20,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.92 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Braves | 35c | 16,962$5,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,927.16 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Braves | 36c | 15,169$5,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460.84 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Braves | 37c | 14,775$5,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,466.72 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Braves | 35c | 14,050$4,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,938.46 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 64c | 10,778$6,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,863.15 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Phillies | 63c | 5,317$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.45 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Braves | 37c | 5,023$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.51 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 35c | 4,580$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 36c | 3,886$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.89 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Braves | 36c | 3,799$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.58 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Braves | 39c | 3,632$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.79 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Phillies | 63c | 3,412$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Phillies | 63c | 2,967$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.12 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 58c | 2,954$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.06 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 36c | 2,693$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.89 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Braves | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 64c | 2,038$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.55 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Braves | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Braves | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Braves | 36c | 1,986$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.94 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Braves | 54c | 1,785$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Braves | 37c | 1,775$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.75 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Braves | 37c | 1,739$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.52 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…23d2backed Phillies | 64c | 1,599$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.48 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Braves | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 41c | 1,386$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.65 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Phillies | 62c | 1,353$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.09 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Phillies | 62c | 1,222$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.88 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 45c | 1,104$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.68 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Phillies | 63c | 1,034$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.54 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Braves | 37c | 1,023$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.51 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Braves | 48c | 1,015$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.07 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Braves | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Phillies | 58c | 1,000$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Braves | 37c | 994.59$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Phillies | 64c | 937.65$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.65 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…7911backed Braves | 37c | 850$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Braves | 35c | 841.63$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.48 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Braves | 38c | 789$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Phillies | 65c | 711.43$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 59c | 699.99$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Braves | 37c | 694$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.78 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Braves | 36c | 692.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.58 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Braves | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afc…e1e4backed Braves | 35c | 657$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 30c | 611.69$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.04 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Braves | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 41c | 511.36$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.02 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Braves | 37c | 510.53$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Braves | 22c | 509$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Phillies | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Braves | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Braves | 37c | 499.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Braves | 37c | 482$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.34 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Phillies | 52c | 446.09$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.98 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Phillies | 69c | 436.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.84 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Braves | 37c | 435.26$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Braves | 45c | 434.43$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.82 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Braves | 37c | 432.11$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.44 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Braves | 55c | 410$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.2 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Phillies | 65c | 386.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.55 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c04cbacked Braves | 37c | 363.35$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked Phillies | 64c | 363.28$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.78 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Braves | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…2d38backed Phillies | 63c | 349.21$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.21 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Phillies | 62c | 343.56$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.96 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Phillies | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800e…d9bdbacked Phillies | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9c…7aa1backed Phillies | 63c | 315.9$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.88 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Braves | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Braves | 46c | 314.67$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.45 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Phillies | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked Braves | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.8wins | +0.36per pick | 45cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Braves | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…1d59backed Phillies | 63c | 299.6$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Braves | 35c | 286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Braves | 55c | 260$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Braves | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Braves | 37c | 256$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Braves | 35c | 250$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Phillies | 54c | 218.15$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Phillies | 64c | 212.5$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Braves | 36c | 211.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Braves | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Braves | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Braves | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Braves | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Braves | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Phillies | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Phillies | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Braves vs. Philliesthis page
- Braves vs. Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.