TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Wild, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$217,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$216,825

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,971 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Avalanche74c20,000$14,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2002055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Avalanche73c17,806$12,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,809.127758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Wild38c13,346$5,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,071.566940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Wild53c10,390$5,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,540.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Wild32c9,301$2,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,975.5392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Avalanche59c8,682$5,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,572.211,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d34…b76fbacked Wild25c8,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.972744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Wild31c7,321$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.156163.9%39 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wild26c7,279$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.7772847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Avalanche63c5,549$3,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,059.6332331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Avalanche71c5,509$3,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.7686649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Wild46c5,320$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.1713754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Wild27c4,934$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.2622842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c4…8441backed Wild26c3,124$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.181233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Wild32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9924546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8896…ff27backed Wild26c2,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Wild30c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.981952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725a…4d67backed Avalanche75c2,467$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wild27c2,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.4879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaae…8a95backed Avalanche74c2,003$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.781163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8df…2521backed Wild26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche67c1,884$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.613,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Wild29c1,763$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.2729847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche74c1,554$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.171,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Avalanche68c1,540$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.9133652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f52…6ff2backed Wild26c1,339$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.371827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32b…1e55backed Avalanche70c1,177$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.21258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick36cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Wild49c1,140$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55523761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6357…63febacked Wild26c1,112$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.19728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Wild27c1,092$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Wild31c1,062$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.121,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Avalanche74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26031849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Wild26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche69c846.55$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9897651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc1…5c9bbacked Avalanche75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a0…97fbbacked Wild26c615.38$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Avalanche67c599.96$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9925340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wild27c584$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1260549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Wild26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13049351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f53…c815backed Wild26c475.9$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Avalanche69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7827958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Wild9c355.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3a…0a11backed Avalanche73c327.19$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.31275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Wild30c304.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75c3…50e6backed Wild33c269.7$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed Avalanche68c253.16$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.015957.6%34 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Wild41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e8f…b7fdbacked Wild41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-58.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ba2…eaa7backed Avalanche63c242$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.741764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5237…09cdbacked Wild26c232.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Wild26c230$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-67.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche72c202.02$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3284051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba7…a0edbacked Wild26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Wild33c170.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3734032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Wild30c166.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.058050%40 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Wild43c145.59$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6238040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Avalanche59c144.07$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.074158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Avalanche75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3341757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0623…35dbbacked Avalanche75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333080%24 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb30c…7ab2backed Avalanche75c116$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Wild27c112$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2448149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Avalanche69c106.76$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5891334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Wild33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Wild26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2637738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Wild28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810124.8%25 W · 76 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Avalanche55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4526059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed37…5849backed Wild26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Avalanche73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2727643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd3…06a8backed Avalanche75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Wild29c99.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x548c…763bbacked Avalanche68c97.06$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.062065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6fa…7bd1backed Wild33c96.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-50.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Wild26c90.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.611,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b9c…842bbacked Avalanche68c85.29$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.291580%12 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+64.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x31d2…c25dbacked Wild33c84.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d7…6a4ebacked Avalanche75c83.83$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Wild29c81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3116437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e6…cbb5backed Avalanche75c80.76$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.194271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a6d…72eabacked Avalanche75c77.92$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e20…fd40backed Wild26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f5…9093backed Wild27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208638.4%33 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33e9…b169backed Wild27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1620…d3c4backed Avalanche75c71.89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0e…682bbacked Avalanche75c67.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.77862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf2…e309backed Avalanche75c66.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6a…2325backed Wild26c66.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.23333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb02e…051ebacked Avalanche75c62.65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb96c…e457backed Avalanche75c58.44$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.61560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x015a…5e77backed Wild33c57.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5cc…4e46backed Wild26c57.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Avalanche75c55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7523462%145 W · 89 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc394…8444backed Avalanche75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Wild26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1315730.6%48 W · 109 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…0dc6backed Wild27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.66246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe060…b0cabacked Wild33c46.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.44714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-62.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa86b…a03dbacked Wild33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f1…46c5backed Avalanche68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.121457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed91…4bd6backed Avalanche57c43.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.