La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0832dbe368bfc6d3000c30262ae7c5e7db08fc7b4aed332b3d0de5edcf4f60b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd28e…fd57backed Yes | 0c | 37,113$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 68c | 8,294$5,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.42 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 32c | 7,813$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 70c | 4,456$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.41 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 70c | 2,956$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.2 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 38c | 1,528$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.95 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 71c | 1,479$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.91 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 27c | 1,354$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.44 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 67c | 1,263$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.64 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Yes | 62c | 903.23$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 64c | 852.19$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.42 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 696.38$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.52 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 70c | 667.29$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.19 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 71c | 638.1$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.89 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 47c | 586$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.25 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 30c | 453$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 28c | 395.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…28ddbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 58c | 349$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.07 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 71c | 348.28$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…c9efbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 43c | 300$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.74 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 68c | 289.58$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…57e6backed Yes | 35c | 286.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 36c | 278.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 57c | 272.77$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 73c | 248.63$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 62c | 240.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 206.76$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 35c | 171.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…4f6cbacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf32…b123backed Yes | 30c | 149.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 33c | 149$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…39f5backed Yes | 35c | 144$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 28c | 129$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b4…786dbacked Yes | 62c | 122.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 32c | 83.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…30abbacked No | 72c | 76.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 71c | 71.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 70c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed No | 70c | 52.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 61c | 52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…7bd1backed No | 73c | 50.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5df…fed4backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…cc7bbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…dfb0backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…6744backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad81…1637backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…6737backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-27?this page
- Will Celta Vigo vs. Real Betis end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.