TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36c8…6737

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino win on 2025-09-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$48.61
Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$51.71
Will Inter win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+51.9%+$32.7
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.89
Will Inter win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Lecce win on 2025-09-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Napoli win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.67
Will Atalanta win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will AC Milan win on 2025-08-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.03
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-08-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+39.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick54cpaid-74.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Fever vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+25%+$104.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$27.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-09-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$62.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.