Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4adfece9b3b5939c269b350007d3c54c2f059a0fcdd8659c9c905dcc543f201c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $770,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $768,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $770,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 31c | 731,554$229,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501,741.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 69c | 344,250$236,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236,079.49 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 68c | 160,131$109,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,267.67 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 69c | 120,000$82,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,800 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 69c | 60,000$41,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,200 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 69c | 25,000$17,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,150 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 69c | 17,500$11,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,995 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04d…69e7backed Yes | 72c | 14,085$10,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,132.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 28c | 8,199$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,865.93 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 63c | 3,089$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.31 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 69c | 3,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 72c | 2,084$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 68c | 1,988$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.73 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 38c | 1,571$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.75 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 28c | 1,500$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.99 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 30c | 1,009$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 28c | 1,004$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.64 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 57c | 900$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed Yes | 71c | 848.39$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 569.45$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.27 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 70c | 450$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 28c | 399.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Yes | 52c | 385.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 32c | 316.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.9 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 30c | 299.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.98 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…e860backed Yes | 70c | 286.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed No | 30c | 283$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 71c | 184.09$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 70c | 177.34$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.58 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 69c | 112.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b83…a4c1backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 48c | 95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…acdcbacked Yes | 60c | 92.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Yes | 69c | 86.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 70c | 85.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3963…6241backed Yes | 70c | 77.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked Yes | 71c | 77.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…f7adbacked Yes | 69c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +150%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 37c | 67.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 71c | 65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…ec9bbacked Yes | 52c | 57.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…e783backed Yes | 63c | 53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes | 72c | 44.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 56c | 39.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…9fedbacked Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 29c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6748backed Yes | 69c | 32.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…f1fbbacked Yes | 70c | 25.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…6737backed Yes | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 54cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-08-28?this page
- Will FC Utrecht vs. HSK Zrinjski end in a draw?Yes won
- Will HSK Zrinjski win on 2025-08-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.