TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Inter win on 2025-09-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,418
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,418 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No26c40,000$10,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,398.210952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes75c39,905$29,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,979.152,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2635…5408backed No25c32,281$8,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,214.942429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes74c10,340$7,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,688.41457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd3…68d5backed Yes75c8,170$6,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes75c4,243$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.426243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04021058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No24c2,853$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.378558.8%50 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes75c2,700$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6752770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed No5c1,654$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.543330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No22c1,417$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.0117543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81df…d751backed Yes78c1,387$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.146100%6 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes3c1,268$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.233638.9%14 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.24per pick15cpaid+1,305.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xb96a…18d4backed Yes77c1,201$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No20c1,043$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5513754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2608463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes74c861.49$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9933357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes77c734.73$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3411772.6%85 W · 32 L+28.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Yes76c719.99$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.671566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…6a00backed Yes75c626.89$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.721566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes75c610.21$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.554969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No24c593.91$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5522551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12514254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No12c499.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No24c428.7$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5620827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes75c422.72$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.687656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.74977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Yes75c310.29$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.571275%9 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No24c306.85$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2628556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Yes74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No25c292.33$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.682433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes76c292.11$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb93…63d9backed Yes78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes75c234.67$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.67742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No24c209.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.414742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507450%37 W · 37 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6231…3f29backed No14c199.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes75c195.96$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.99580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes78c185.33$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.739353.8%50 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes75c183.83$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.961844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No24c180.49$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2728458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes75c165.35$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3412565.6%82 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23de…bdb1backed Yes75c160$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4332…d442backed No16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.336053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a64…cd34backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332045%9 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf6c…2888backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0fc…ea6cbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.585560%33 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c5…b378backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes75c119.47$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.471752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No25c110.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.453836.8%14 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-36.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed No24c104.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.659440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x562f…e46fbacked Yes74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf208…314ebacked Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Yes76c98.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.682171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No24c98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.528620.9%18 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No12c91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.494346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfebd…5c09backed Yes77c90.91$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.912445.8%11 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe66…ae05backed No27c86.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e8…bf07backed Yes74c81.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.082763%17 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c68…56dcbacked Yes76c79.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.33366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…51a0backed Yes75c73.16$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.165954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8594…9803backed Yes75c65.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.331435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes78c64.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.155563.6%35 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No24c62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8810163.4%64 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5e…93ccbacked Yes75c59.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.911346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x984c…9655backed Yes76c59.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.21771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick71cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Yes75c57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.252254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Yes75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.336165.6%40 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes76c52.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.641450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a0…63b2backed Yes76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.63366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed Yes77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.951163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+52.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked No26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.56953.6%37 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d1…45afbacked Yes76c48.88$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.911361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes76c46.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.053036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd753…0681backed Yes76c46.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No24c42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0827226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes76c41.1$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.863850%19 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes75c40.69$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.172650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1b…349cbacked Yes75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9bd…b3ddbacked Yes75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4591…df1bbacked Yes75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108856.8%50 W · 38 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bae…5c82backed Yes76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.471947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6868…6596backed Yes76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7237…ca81backed Yes76c38.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.365100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.964860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x158e…2157backed Yes75c38.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.