TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c06…db24

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
239
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5933.9%20 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.75
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,007.82
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.45
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.73
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.98
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$51.32
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.16
Will Cedric Coward win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.81
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$67.75
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.26
Will Ace Bailey win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.56
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$99.96
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$118.8
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$112.95
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.53
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+666.2%+$813.84
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.65
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$32.47
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.53
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$37.44
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.11
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$79.56
Will Coventry City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$198.08
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+32.7%+$147.99
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$99.71
Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$42.47
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+1,900%+$266
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$80.83
Will Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$54.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+76.1%+$76.06
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.22
Will Everton vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+300%+$30
Will Wolves win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.8
Will Brentford vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+150%+$35
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$182.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will Everton win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.61
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.48
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.97
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.07
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.08
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$133.46
Will Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+157.4%+$141.07
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.59
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.34
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$951.44
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.67
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$556.8
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$99.99
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$479.35
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+397.3%+$599.2
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$99.45
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$154.98
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$68.97
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$26.82
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+30.7%+$35.72
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$18.24
Will AC Milan vs. Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$38.75
Will Udinese win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.22
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$220
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.45
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.02
Will Inter vs. Slavia Praha end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.04
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$114
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$124
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$64
Will Ferencvaros win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+209%+$409.91
Will Qarabag win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$298.45
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.71
Bengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Petr Bar Biryukovbacked Petr Bar Biryukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
ITF Takasaki: Haruka Kaji vs Valentina Ryserbacked Valentina Ryser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$35.46
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$37.25
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tienbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Bengaluru 3: Hamish Stewart vs Kriish Tyagibacked Hamish Stewart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.64
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Sheltonbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$67.07
Hamburg European Open: Justin Engel vs Ugo Humbertbacked Justin Engel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Istanbul: Mert Naci Turker vs Alafia Ayenibacked Mert Naci Turker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.25
Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs Daniel Dutra da Silvabacked Daniel Dutra da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.9
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.19
Zagreb: Arthur Fery vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.58
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$22.08
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.98
Will Elon tweet 235–249 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon tweet 220–234 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon tweet 205–219 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+900%+$180
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$86
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$260.34
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+107.9%+$51.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alperen Şengün win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.83
Euro Basket: Finland vs Germanybacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.75
EuroBasket: Germany vs. Sloveniabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+43.7%+$143.93
Euro Basket: Italy vs Sloveniabacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.69
Will France win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.8
Euro Basket: Finland vs Lithuaniabacked Lithuania · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$11.79
Euro Basket: France vs Sloveniabacked Slovenia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$308.52
Euro Basket: Lithuania vs Montenegrobacked Montenegro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.49
Euro Basket: Slovenia vs Polandbacked Poland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$185.7
Euro Basket: Greece vs Italybacked Greece · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST90%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
2025 September third hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,981Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,981.26
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,591.8
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$222.66
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in September 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
2025 September second hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.71
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in September 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid+77%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+139.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-67.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Plzen win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Ferencvarosi TC win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$182.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada recession in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$108
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42%+$207
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$31.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saints vs. Seahawksbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$197.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.