Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: Greece vs Italy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x134c1563030fc51a7e9c5b0741a796cfad11648e6009a55dc1390885257ca10e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Greeceof Greece, Italy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Italy | 21c | 11,610$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Greece | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Italy | 3c | 607$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Italy | 32c | 598.78$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.12 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Greece | 69c | 504.35$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Greece | 79c | 473.84$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.52 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Greece | 67c | 391.67$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.05 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Greece | 68c | 360.58$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Greece | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Greece | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Greece | 70c | 142.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…315dbacked Greece | 68c | 102.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Greece | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Italy | 29c | 99.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Italy | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Greece | 69c | 69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Italy | 30c | 58.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…4256backed Italy | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…6744backed Greece | 69c | 44.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Italy | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Greece | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…9971backed Greece | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…8a4dbacked Italy | 33c | 35.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…8c7abacked Greece | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Greece | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…3684backed Greece | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb4…d58ebacked Greece | 70c | 21.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.