Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: Italy vs Slovenia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda4ad118b47f5eb8dbabe6a412c213f0ebc7f5249479a17887e830ed94dc8106
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sloveniaof Italy, Slovenia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Italy | 57c | 6,237$3,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,538.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Italy | 34c | 4,558$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.38 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Slovenia | 43c | 4,514$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Slovenia | 44c | 3,995$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…5c6abacked Italy | 27c | 2,588$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Slovenia | 45c | 2,300$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Italy | 34c | 1,739$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.07 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Italy | 57c | 1,727$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Slovenia | 44c | 1,590$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.6 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Slovenia | 40c | 1,158$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Slovenia | 68c | 1,077$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.19 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Slovenia | 41c | 1,002$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Italy | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Italy | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Italy | 58c | 999.98$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…6c1cbacked Slovenia | 42c | 989.99$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Italy | 11c | 870.42$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Italy | 37c | 851.3$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +78%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Italy | 25c | 797.31$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Italy | 56c | 795.21$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.22 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Italy | 59c | 662.71$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…2b2cbacked Italy | 60c | 618.4$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Slovenia | 48c | 600$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Slovenia | 64c | 584.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Italy | 56c | 576.77$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.22 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Slovenia | 41c | 550.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.05 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Italy | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Italy | 22c | 443.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Italy | 25c | 400$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…80adbacked Slovenia | 76c | 348.68$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…ec02backed Slovenia | 56c | 329.38$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Slovenia | 43c | 327.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Slovenia | 69c | 322.95$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Slovenia | 78c | 304.39$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…086abacked Slovenia | 42c | 297.62$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bc…4e16backed Slovenia | 41c | 243.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Italy | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Slovenia | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Slovenia | 43c | 231.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…c95dbacked Slovenia | 44c | 227.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Slovenia | 75c | 218.13$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c7…af3ebacked Slovenia | 42c | 213.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Slovenia | 41c | 213.09$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Italy | 49c | 204.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Italy | 53c | 201.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Slovenia | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Italy | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…9decbacked Slovenia | 73c | 194.52$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Italy | 50c | 189.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Italy | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Italy | 59c | 173$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Italy | 10c | 148$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Italy | 23c | 146.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cb…e80cbacked Slovenia | 42c | 132.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Italy | 60c | 119.74$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Slovenia | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed Slovenia | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +198.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked Slovenia | 44c | 109.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbf…3155backed Slovenia | 47c | 106.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Slovenia | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Italy | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Italy | 58c | 89.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Italy | 43c | 86.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -8.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Slovenia | 45c | 73.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Italy | 24c | 70.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf7…9017backed Italy | 59c | 67.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Slovenia | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…cba8backed Italy | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…9971backed Slovenia | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked Italy | 47c | 53.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd803…932fbacked Slovenia | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d3…634fbacked Slovenia | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed Slovenia | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Italy | 60c | 46.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…42d8backed Slovenia | 41c | 46.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Slovenia | 73c | 40.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1654…4f2cbacked Slovenia | 42c | 39.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f5…e262backed Slovenia | 44c | 34.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22f…7714backed Italy | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…e7aabacked Slovenia | 47c | 22.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Italy | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Italy | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.