Champions League · resolved market
Will Ferencvaros win on 2025-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x260d74eb0af8811ad2a608673f339157ff02fdb6cac38c5111a9fda702f94b99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 71c | 3,209$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.27 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.98 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 40c | 2,400$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.72 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 32c | 2,050$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 46c | 1,796$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.3 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 29c | 1,485$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.02 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 29c | 1,364$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.74 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Yes | 13c | 1,260$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 31c | 1,150$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 42c | 775.51$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.28 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 32c | 606.06$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 34c | 492.88$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.28 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked No | 70c | 455.71$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 64c | 409.5$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.54 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 50c | 346.4$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 313.88$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.47 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 68c | 304.8$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.26 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…7fb7backed Yes | 34c | 288.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 40c | 188$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 68c | 163.96$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 31c | 158.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 42c | 156.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…77c4backed No | 69c | 140$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 29c | 137.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 68c | 136.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…98f1backed No | 72c | 134.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 32c | 112.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +105%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 78c | 75.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…7bd1backed No | 70c | 61.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…ef36backed Yes | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8e…cfdabacked Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 45c | 41.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…443bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…f7adbacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 31c | 39.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…7e3bbacked Yes | 34c | 32.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed No | 71c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +87%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferencvaros win on 2025-08-27?this page
- Will Qarabag vs. Ferencvaros end in a draw?No won
- Will Qarabag win on 2025-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.